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2020-2021 ROSTER TALK: Archived - Printable Version

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RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $25.7M - $37.3M in capspace this summer - KillerLeft - 03-27-2021

(03-27-2021, 12:56 PM)ItsGoTime Wrote: but I have to think that they would have gotten much more had they traded him at this TDL. 


Oh, FOR SURE. And they know that. And they decided not to move him. That means that either they believe they'll be able to reach an agreement with him they can live with, financially, or that they're willing to risk losing him for nothing (or getting much less in exchange) in order to maximize THIS SEASON's stretch run. Basically, they REALLY want to make the playoffs and make some noise after all these years, and that was their primary focus when push came to shove. 

If they DON'T want to pay him market value (that's the big if, imo - I bet they do) then I don't think they're under any illusions about what they'll get back in a sign and trade.

(03-27-2021, 12:58 PM)dirkfansince1998 Wrote: Hawks are getting better and better and will make the playoff. Collins is their 2nd best player. I really hope that the Mavs don´t buy into some of the believes on this board.  The RFA pipe dreams are even worse than the Giannis hype last year.

Yeah, I think the Collins dream just died at the deadline, but seeing what Vucevic went for, it was probably never alive to begin with.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $25.7M - $37.3M in capspace this summer - omahen - 03-27-2021

(03-27-2021, 12:56 PM)ItsGoTime Wrote: I get the want to make the playoffs and make a really good showing this year. However, if they believed at the deadline that Maxi wasn't enough to help them do that, not sure why they would for next year's season. I guess it would depend on what else they can do in FA.


Collins has the power to choose where to be - either Atlanta or a team of his choosing. Atlanta only has a choice of resigning him, letting him walk or SnT him to the team of HIS choosing. So everything goes down to their willingness to pay max to him. Obviously they didn't get a good enough offer at TDL and they prioritize making the playoffs. But what if they barely make it or even fail in the play in? Do they really want to pay Collins the max and pretty much lock themselves to a team that is not a serious contender? It might be a long shot, but I see a Brogdon scenario possibility. So a pick for them to save their face in front of fans for not matching the max contract to Collins. I assume Mavs will work his agent Schwartz and know beforehand the Atlanta situation.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $25.7M - $37.3M in capspace this summer - KillerLeft - 03-27-2021

(03-27-2021, 01:05 PM)omahen Wrote: I assume Mavs will work his agent Schwartz and know beforehand the Atlanta situation.


Totally. Any team interested already knows what he's looking to get in his next deal, and they probably have a pretty educated opinion on whether or not ATL is going to give it to him. The rest of us will have to wait and see. 

My opinion is that he was on his way out until the team changed head coaches. Now, I'm not so sure.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $25.7M - $37.3M in capspace this summer - chaparral - 03-27-2021

(03-27-2021, 12:58 PM)dirkfansince1998 Wrote: Hawks are getting better and better and will make the playoff. Collins is their 2nd best player. I really hope that the Mavs don´t buy into some of the believes on this board.  The RFA pipe dreams are even worse than the Giannis hype last year.

It's the power of the Schwartz.  Collins agent once again using the Mavs to get a Max deal out of Atlanta.  Mavs have no intention on maxing out Collins in a RFA offer.  I'm with KL on this Cubes is unwilling to spend money thing.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $25.7M - $37.3M in capspace this summer - KillerLeft - 03-27-2021

I have my hopes up a little for a Dieng signing today or tomorrow. He could help this team for the rest of the season, and he's flying WAAAAAY under the radar. I think he's better than what they're getting from the two-headed Powell/WCS monster at the moment. 

Drummond will either ring chase or go somewhere where he'll get his next big "stealing money" contract (NY). I'd put Porter Jr in that category, too. 

But Dieng might actually make sense, imo.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $25.7M - $37.3M in capspace this summer - ItsGoTime - 03-27-2021

(03-27-2021, 01:05 PM)omahen Wrote: Collins has the power to choose where to be - either Atlanta or a team of his choosing. Atlanta only has a choice of resigning him, letting him walk or SnT him to the team of HIS choosing. So everything goes down to their willingness to pay max to him. Obviously they didn't get a good enough offer at TDL and they prioritize making the playoffs. But what if they barely make it or even fail in the play in? Do they really want to pay Collins the max and pretty much lock themselves to a team that is not a serious contender? It might be a long shot, but I see a Brogdon scenario possibility. So a pick for them to save their face in front of fans for not matching the max contract to Collins. I assume Mavs will work his agent Schwartz and know beforehand the Atlanta situation.
Possibly, there are a lot of hypotheticals in your hypothetical. I would love for it to come down to us getting him.

Like I said, I think ATL's determination is based on what else they can do in FA and with whatever money they can scrounge together after the bad deals they came out with from last offseason.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $25.7M - $37.3M in capspace this summer - cow - 03-27-2021

(03-27-2021, 01:05 PM)omahen Wrote: Collins has the power to choose where to be - either Atlanta or a team of his choosing.

This is why I'm not sure he's worth chasing and that isn't even related to our front office woes around attracting free agents.  He wants out of Atlanta for some reason and I'd guess that he's no happy with his run on the ladder.  Why would he want to go from being a second option in Atlanta to a third option in Dallas?


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $25.7M - $37.3M in capspace this summer - omahen - 03-27-2021

(03-27-2021, 01:34 PM)ItsGoTime Wrote: Possibly, there are a lot of hypotheticals in your hypothetical. I would love for it to come down to us getting him.


My hypothetical was written to show the principle how you can stay over the cap and still sign good FA. I said that a couple of times Smile 

Collins is just one possibility, but the hypothetical works equally well with any other name in his place. If other name is UFA, it is even simpler. I trully hope Mavs will know the situation beforehand and not pursue some pipedream only to be matched by Atlanta (or other RFA scenario). SnT is the only thing that makes sense with UFA imho, giving an offer sheet would be crazy.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $25.7M - $37.3M in capspace this summer - ItsGoTime - 03-27-2021

(03-27-2021, 01:51 PM)omahen Wrote: My hypothetical was written to show the principle how you can stay over the cap and still sign good FA. I said that a couple of times Smile 

Collins is just one possibility, but the hypothetical works equally well with any other name in his place. If other name is UFA, it is even simpler. I trully hope Mavs will know the situation beforehand and not pursue some pipedream only to be matched by Atlanta (or other RFA scenario). SnT is the only thing that makes sense with UFA imho, giving an offer sheet would be crazy.
For sure, and I fully get that, I really appreciate framework more than details. You were just adding yet another hypothetical to the conversation by saying "But what if they barely make it or even fail in the play in? " (don't know why copy and paste does that...).


NBD either way. I want what you want in this scenario.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $25.7M - $37.3M in capspace this summer - JamesConway - 03-27-2021

(03-27-2021, 01:20 PM)KillerLeft Wrote: I have my hopes up a little for a Dieng signing today or tomorrow. He could help this team for the rest of the season, and he's flying WAAAAAY under the radar. I think he's better than what they're getting from the two-headed Powell/WCS monster at the moment. 

Drummond will either ring chase or go somewhere where he'll get his next big "stealing money" contract (NY). I'd put Porter Jr in that category, too. 

But Dieng might actually make sense, imo.
Good name, another Center but it’s an upgrade so why not. Dieng has been pretty darn solid for a long time.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $25.7M - $37.3M in capspace this summer - F Gump - 03-27-2021

(03-27-2021, 02:26 PM)JamesConway Wrote: Good name, another Center but it’s an upgrade so why not. Dieng has been pretty darn solid for a long time.

Can't have a whole roster of all centers. Even if he is an better backup center, the number of bodies itself that are already here to be backup center is a problem (another issue created by the Powell contract clogging things).


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $25.7M - $37.3M in capspace this summer - jesusshuttlesworth82 - 03-27-2021

(03-27-2021, 01:46 PM)cow Wrote: This is why I'm not sure he's worth chasing and that isn't even related to our front office woes around attracting free agents.  He wants out of Atlanta for some reason and I'd guess that he's no happy with his run on the ladder.  Why would he want to go from being a second option in Atlanta to a third option in Dallas?

From his recent interview, he said he was insulted at 4 years/$90 million.  He said he didnt even ask for the max.  Just that 4/$90 was too little.  Otherwise, he has no issues with ATL.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $25.7M - $37.3M in capspace this summer - cow - 03-27-2021

(03-27-2021, 05:26 PM)jesusshuttlesworth82 Wrote: From his recent interview, he said he was insulted at 4 years/$90 million.  He said he didnt even ask for the max.  Just that 4/$90 was too little.  Otherwise, he has no issues with ATL.

Thanks.  Fixing that insult will be easy for Atlanta should the want to keep him.  Money talks.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $25.7M - $37.3M in capspace this summer - DanSchwartzgan - 03-28-2021

(03-27-2021, 11:29 AM)omahen Wrote: I am not sure we understand each other. I am speaking about exactly the same thing as Boston and Charlotte did. Lets say JRich reaches agreement with Miami. He is unrestricted and can sign with them. Instead of signing him in cap space we ask them to SnT him and include themselves in our Atlanta deal. I am not convincing JRich to go somewhere he doesn't want to or even to wait without the offer, I am also not asking for salary back. I am just asking Miami for a little favour. This way JRich counts as our outgoing salary. But it goes in Miami cap space, no salary coming back. Finally, we are not getting Collins in our cap space, we are trading Powell (to New York) and JRich (to Miami) as our outgoing salary. Of course many other scenarios this can go. We are doing a SnT, we don't need cap space for that and it can be done on day one. No waiting required. There are certain agents involved I would be counting on. Schwartz for Collins and Duffy for Richardson, if I remember correctly. 

Sorry I had to bug out on our conversation for a little travel.  BTW, I applaud your efforts on this concept (and I get that the examples are just that...examples).  I’m also well aware of the agent relationships and that certainly might help.  But...

Here’s the point I’m trying to make.  We aren’t Boston in the Hayward scenario.  We are Charlotte.  Charlotte had some advantages to their situation that we don’t.  They had room and weren’t worried about retaining members of their current rotation (we run the risk of not getting the FA and losing good rotation players).  They got Hayward to agree to a deal and could have called it a day because Hayward was UFA.  The best FA’s this summer are restricted.  Charlotte didn’t need to get a player and another team to agree to help them.  We do, and BTW, don’t you suspect Miami and NY have bigger things in mind with their cap room than JRich and Powell.  Those are all important hurdles to overcome.

I do think we can operate over the cap.  But, Atlanta has to believe we are willing to create the room to give Collins a Max.  Assuming Atlanta isn’t willing to pay that much, talks can begin (assuming Collins likes Dallas more than any other team...there are other teams out there and some with cap room).  The key is Atlanta has to believe Dallas has an easy path to room.  It can’t be that Miami might do such and such because Miami doesn’t know what Miami is going to do yet.  Too many moving parts.  Since we aren’t Charlotte and Collins isn’t UFA like Hayward, it has to be solid right then.  

It could be something like Maxi to Atlanta and we pay something to OKC to take Powell.  Note that we control both players.  I just don’t see getting players (like JRich) and teams (like Miami), neither of which we control, to do what we want fast enough to convince Atlanta to send him here for little compensation when they have other options.  That is why I’ve brought up Markkanen.  I think Chicago might be much less hostile to this than Atlanta.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $25.7M - $37.3M in capspace this summer - DanSchwartzgan - 03-28-2021

One more thing.  After watching JRich go 5 of 25 the last two nights, are we sure we aren’t the team that ends up giving Lowry $25mm per for two years.


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $25.7M - $37.3M in capspace this summer - chaparral - 03-28-2021

If we were to buyout Redick for some reason, what would that do to the cap hold this offseason?  Would it change to a minimum slot cap hold figure?  If so, would that give us the space to offer Collins a RFA max?


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $25.7M - $37.3M in capspace this summer - Kammrath - 03-28-2021

https://twitter.com/TheNBACentral/status/1376191875573514246


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $25.7M - $37.3M in capspace this summer - cow - 03-28-2021

Was doing some research on THT and what he'll cost.  His max contract (which I don't think it will take)
  • 2021-22: $9,535,740 (equal to non-taxpayer mid-level exception)

  • 2022-23: $10,012,527 (105% of first-year salary)

  • 2023-24: $30,913,905 (110% of a 2021-22 max salary for a player with fewer than seven years experience)

  • 2024-25: $32,305,031 (104.5% of third-year salary)

  • Total: $82,767,203
I think you'll need to do ~20M per in years 3&4 which get evenly divided against the CAP for the length of the contract (basically 15m per year).  Poison pilling the Lakers would be fun.  Resources:

https://www.silverscreenandroll.com/2021/2/8/22272900/lakers-talen-horton-tucker-free-agency-contract-explainer-arenas-rule
https://nba.nbcsports.com/2021/02/08/lakers-talen-horton-tucker-could-get-poison-pill-offer-sheet-in-free-agency/


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $25.7M - $37.3M in capspace this summer - dirkfansince1998 - 03-28-2021

So the Mavs identified the main problem but couldn´t fix it. Tried to add another quality front court player (Nance). When it didn´t work they tried to get a solid rotation piece (Lyles) in the Redick trade. When the Spurs pulled out of the trade they ended up with Melli.

10/10 for intentions. WCS/Powell are the weak spot among rotation players.
1/10 for execution. Melii is probably even worse than both mentioned guys.

Would love to know why the Mavs did not try to add a guy like Dieng. Are they higher on Melli than the rest of the league (unlikely because he was a last minute salary match)? Is there another interesting buyout/waiver option? Are players not willing to even consider the Mavs as a free agent destination?


RE: ROSTER TALK: DAL with $25.7M - $37.3M in capspace this summer - Chicagojk - 03-28-2021

(03-28-2021, 03:22 PM)dirkfansince1998 Wrote: So the Mavs identified the main problem but couldn´t fix it. Tried to add another quality front court player (Nance). When it didn´t work they tried to get a solid rotation piece (Lyles) in the Redick trade. When the Spurs pulled out of the trade they ended up with Melli.

10/10 for intentions. WCS/Powell are the weak spot among rotation players.
1/10 for execution. Melii is probably even worse than both mentioned guys.

Would love to know why the Mavs did not try to add a guy like Dieng. Are they higher on Melli than the rest of the league (unlikely because he was a last minute salary match)? Is there another interesting buyout/waiver option? Are players not willing to even consider the Mavs as a free agent destination?

I am interested in seeing Melli.  Although in reality, he probably finishes the season here and then winds up back in Europe somewhere.   

I have a small bit of hope the Spurs were interested in acquiring him.   Hey, I am desperate.  Why did they back out?  Maybe they got word they were the leaders on Dieng??? who knows.    

I think if Melli can play at all, he will get some playing time.  This team is really thin at power forward.    I have no idea how they can compete against a physical team in the playoffs.  As good as Maxi is, I don't think asking him to be your physical piece is the best use of his talents.