MavsBoard
2020-2021 ROSTER TALK: Archived - Printable Version

+- MavsBoard (https://www.mavsboard.com)
+-- Forum: Boards (https://www.mavsboard.com/forumdisplay.php?fid=1)
+--- Forum: Dallas Mavericks and the NBA (https://www.mavsboard.com/forumdisplay.php?fid=2)
+--- Thread: 2020-2021 ROSTER TALK: Archived (/showthread.php?tid=682)

Pages: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 100 101 102 103 104 105 106 107 108 109 110 111 112 113 114 115 116 117 118 119 120 121 122 123 124 125 126 127 128 129 130 131 132 133 134 135 136 137 138 139 140 141 142 143 144 145 146 147 148 149 150 151 152 153 154 155 156 157 158 159 160 161 162 163 164 165 166 167 168 169 170 171 172 173 174 175 176 177 178 179 180 181 182 183 184 185 186 187 188 189 190 191 192 193 194 195 196 197 198 199 200 201 202 203 204 205 206 207 208 209 210 211 212 213 214 215 216 217 218 219 220 221 222 223 224 225 226 227 228 229 230 231 232 233 234 235 236 237 238 239 240 241 242 243 244 245 246 247 248 249 250 251 252 253 254 255 256 257 258 259 260 261 262 263 264 265 266 267 268 269 270 271 272 273 274 275 276 277 278 279 280 281 282 283 284 285 286 287 288 289 290 291 292 293 294 295 296 297 298 299 300 301 302 303 304 305 306 307 308 309 310 311 312 313 314 315 316 317 318 319 320 321 322 323 324 325 326 327 328 329 330 331 332 333 334 335 336 337 338 339 340 341 342 343 344 345 346 347 348 349 350 351 352 353 354 355 356 357 358 359 360 361 362 363 364 365 366 367 368 369 370 371 372 373 374 375 376 377 378 379 380 381 382 383 384 385 386 387 388 389 390 391 392 393 394 395 396 397 398 399 400 401 402 403 404 405 406 407 408 409 410 411 412 413 414 415 416 417 418 419 420 421 422 423 424 425 426 427 428 429 430 431 432 433 434 435 436 437 438 439 440 441 442 443 444 445 446 447 448 449 450 451 452 453 454 455 456 457 458 459 460 461 462 463 464 465 466 467 468 469 470 471 472 473 474 475 476 477 478 479 480


RE: ROSTER TALK: Mar 25 TDL | DAL has had interest in Aaron Gordon since Nov - mvossman - 03-16-2021

(03-16-2021, 08:26 PM)cow Wrote: The TDL will be telling.  We have so many expiring contracts, you'd think we'd be able to do something productive.  

If THJ and JRich are here past the TDL, I'm fine moving on from them as they are both the epitome of inconsistent.  If they are determined to keep one, I'd go with THJ and try to do a shorter term contract even if you have to overpay in that scenario.  That assumes they run out every other ground ball.

Not sure why we would move on from either of them?  I seriously doubt we will get anything in free agency that would be better than THJ + JRich + MLE.  I feel like we would be better off staying over the cap and re-sign both as well as sign someone to MLE.  Some of this may depend on what we do at the deadline, but it's hard to see a situation where we would want to operate under the cap (and even less likely if we trade JJ for a longer term contract).


RE: ROSTER TALK: Mar 25 TDL | DAL has had interest in Aaron Gordon since Nov - cow - 03-16-2021

(03-16-2021, 09:57 PM)mvossman Wrote: Not sure why we would move on from either of them?  I seriously doubt we will get anything in free agency that would be better than THJ + JRich + MLE.  I feel like we would be better off staying over the cap and re-sign both as well as sign someone to MLE.  Some of this may depend on what we do at the deadline, but it's hard to see a situation where we would want to operate under the cap (and even less likely if we trade JJ for a longer term contract).

They aren't winning players.   Keeping them is just spinning your tires in the mud.  I also hate the mindset of "you aren't getting anything better".  Sometimes you need to take a step backward to make a leap forward.  And if you want something better than JRich/THJ, throw money at DeRozan.  He has his share of warts too, but at least you can count on him game in and game out.  

This team isn't close to competing for a title.  We should be looking at ways to regain assets, no matter how small.  If only we had a ton of expiring contracts that would help us accomplish that.  Oh wait.

(03-16-2021, 09:26 PM)Jommybone Wrote: Ok, I wasn’t being literal. But I can do literal:

I can’t believe how many on this board think the fellas who are having the third and fourth biggest, positive impact on our success—and who appear to be our third and fourth best players—and who appear to be improving more rapidly than anybody else on the team—are less valuable than a lotto pick bust who isn’t the third and probably isn’t even the fourth best player on a truly awful team in Orlando.

I agree with the assessment that Maxi and Jalen are our 3rd and 4th players but that in itself is a problem.  They are better suited as bench players as they have severe deficiencies as starters.  I'm not saying you'd trade either for what Orlando is trying to offload (none of that assembled cast has proven to be winners) but either or both shouldn't be off the table if you can get a starting caliber player.


RE: ROSTER TALK: Mar 25 TDL | DAL has had interest in Aaron Gordon since Nov - ClutchDirk - 03-16-2021

https://bleacherreport.com/articles/2936617-trevor-ariza-trade-rumors-heat-thunder-discussing-deal-for-veteran-wing


RE: ROSTER TALK: Mar 25 TDL | DAL has had interest in Aaron Gordon since Nov - DanSchwartzgan - 03-16-2021

Interesting.  While Bleacher Report has Powell as the "centerpiece" of a deal for Gordon, ESPN (Bobby Marks) has Dallas possibly paying NY to take him into their cap space:

Options for the Knicks

Bobby: As I mentioned above, if Philadelphia is looking to open up a roster spot, New York should be in the front of the line for a player like Terrance Ferguson or Vincent Poirier, both of whom will be restricted free agents this summer. 

The same applies if Dallas is looking to create additional cap flexibility in 2021-22 by moving Dwight Powell, who is due $11.1 million in 2021-22 and $11.1 million in 2022-23. If the Knicks could acquire multiple second-round picks or even have the Mavericks eliminate the pick protection (top 10) for the first they owe New York in 2023, it would be worth the reduction in cap space ($45 to $34 million in 2021-22). 

The 2021 free-agent class is average at best and New York would be smart to follow the same blueprint from this past November (one-year free-agent contracts) and punt on any long-term acquisitions.


RE: ROSTER TALK: Mar 25 TDL | DAL has had interest in Aaron Gordon since Nov - SleepingHero - 03-16-2021

Does Dallas really need more cap space in an average FA summer? I lean on no. And even if they did there wouldn't be a rush until the summer anyways to get off that money. Doesn't really make sense to give up what little we have left to just get off Powell's money.


RE: ROSTER TALK: Mar 25 TDL | DAL has had interest in Aaron Gordon since Nov - mvossman - 03-16-2021

(03-16-2021, 10:14 PM)cow Wrote: They aren't winning players.   Keeping them is just spinning your tires in the mud.  I also hate the mindset of "you aren't getting anything better".  Sometimes you need to take a step backward to make a leap forward.  And if you want something better than JRich/THJ, throw money at DeRozan.  He has his share of warts too, but at least you can count on him game in and game out.  

This team isn't close to competing for a title.  We should be looking at ways to regain assets, no matter how small.  If only we had a ton of expiring contracts that would help us accomplish that.  Oh wait.

So the plan would be to dump THJ, JRich and the MLE to go after DeRozan?  I think I'm getting plan powder PTSD.  Even if you land him (and history has not been kind) I don't think you are a better team.  He has very questionable fit with Luka and most of our depth would be gone.  Plus you have fewer potential future tradeable assets.  Given that we are going to be over the cap when Luka's 30% hits, I think we would be better off asset wise with a moderately over paid THJ and/or Jrich than nothing at all.

As for accumulating assets with our expirings, do you have some example possibilities?


RE: ROSTER TALK: Mar 25 TDL | DAL has had interest in Aaron Gordon since Nov - cow - 03-16-2021

(03-16-2021, 11:12 PM)mvossman Wrote: So the plan would be to dump THJ, JRich and the MLE to go after DeRozan?  I think I'm getting plan powder PTSD.  Even if you land him (and history has not been kind) I don't think you are a better team.  He has very questionable fit with Luka and most of our depth would be gone.  Plus you have fewer potential future tradeable assets.  Given that we are going to be over the cap when Luka's 30% hits, I think we would be better off asset wise with a moderately over paid THJ and/or Jrich than nothing at all.

As for accumulating assets with our expirings, do you have some example possibilities?

It's not about plan powder but this free agency class might not give you a lot of chances to get better.  JRich isn't going to have value on a new contract.  Given my druthers, I'd go with none of those three options but if I had to rank them DeRozan > THJ > JRich.  You are correct, DeRozan might not be an easy get as he could be in the ring-chase part of his career.  And like I said, I'd be fine with overpaying THJ on a 2+1 (team option), I like the guy as he's a good teammate and wants to be here but his inconsistencies aren't going to go away and he seems to have regressed this season.

As far as examples go, look for players on bad contracts (Wall, Westbrook, Love).  Those fit the timeline of a Luka lead championship team in my head which is 3-4 years away once some of the NBA's elite have aged out.  

In the end, I'm just a message board idiot.  The only thing I'd do for sure at this point is look for ways to gather assets using our bare cupboard and chase THT in free agency.


RE: ROSTER TALK: Mar 25 TDL | DAL has had interest in Aaron Gordon since Nov - Tyler - 03-16-2021

(03-16-2021, 10:41 PM)DanSchwartzgan Wrote: Interesting.  While Bleacher Report has Powell as the "centerpiece" of a deal for Gordon, ESPN (Bobby Marks) has Dallas possibly paying NY to take him into their cap space:


While the returns for Powell are very different in the various stories (and the Pelicans one was straight fan fiction and not an actual rumor), I do find it notable that he's suddenly mentioned in multiple articles at the trade deadline. For a guy normally a complete afterthought nationally, it does give the impression that his name is making the rounds right now.

I can sorta see the thought process that they really want an upgrade in the frontcourt and that Powell would be the natural odd man out. Maybe they're shopping him around now for a guy like Gordon while also exploring opportunities to clear space to make an offer to Collins this summer. And the trade chatter is simply picking up on the periphery of those discussions.


RE: ROSTER TALK: Mar 25 TDL | DAL has had interest in Aaron Gordon since Nov - Kammrath - 03-16-2021

(03-16-2021, 11:30 PM)Tyler Wrote: now for a guy like Gordon while also exploring opportunities to clear space to make an offer to Collins this summer.


Yeah my gut on the Mavs trade situation currently:

1) I think the KP stuff was REAL, very real but then flamed out and AFTER the talks were dead the rumors leaked (which is very common). I think the Mavs will revisit this summer but I think something at this deadline is really unlikely with KP.

2) I think the Mavs are targeting Gordon or Collins. They fit the youth and timeline piece and they help desperately with a position of need.


RE: ROSTER TALK: Mar 25 TDL | DAL has had interest in Aaron Gordon since Nov - SamStetz - 03-17-2021

I’m curious to know, what would dumping Powell to NY do for Dallas cap wise this summer, assuming they want to resign THJ and Richardson? I mean, ideally you have an agreement with THJ that you’ll resign him for less than his cap hold so you can renounce that to free up a few extra million, and decline WCS option, does that get us in the ballpark for an offer sheet to Collins? Couldn’t Dallas just wait til the summer to offload Powell then if needed?


RE: ROSTER TALK: Mar 25 TDL | DAL has had interest in Aaron Gordon since Nov - F Gump - 03-17-2021

(03-17-2021, 12:01 AM)SamStetz Wrote: I’m curious to know, what would dumping Powell to NY do for Dallas cap wise this summer, assuming they want to resign THJ and Richardson? I mean, ideally you have an agreement with THJ that you’ll resign him for less than his cap hold so you can renounce that to free up a few extra million, and decline WCS option, does that get us in the ballpark for an offer sheet to Collins? Couldn’t Dallas just wait til the summer to offload Powell then if needed?

If Powell was sold to NY and WCS option was declined:

You would have about $44.5M to divide between Collins (or player X), THJ, and JRich. That looks like room for 2 of them but not all 3.


RE: ROSTER TALK: Mar 25 TDL | DAL has had interest in Aaron Gordon since Nov - DanSchwartzgan - 03-17-2021

(03-17-2021, 12:01 AM)SamStetz Wrote: I’m curious to know, what would dumping Powell to NY do for Dallas cap wise this summer, assuming they want to resign THJ and Richardson? I mean, ideally you have an agreement with THJ that you’ll resign him for less than his cap hold so you can renounce that to free up a few extra million, and decline WCS option, does that get us in the ballpark for an offer sheet to Collins? Couldn’t Dallas just wait til the summer to offload Powell then if needed?

Easiest way to think of it is to clear the slate (wipe away THJ, JRich and WCS) with Powell presumably gone in a trade.  It gives you almost $41.9mm in space.  Then add people back...

Add WCS and you are at $38.7mm (remember you don't add the full $4.1mm since there was a cap hold for a minimum slot already there).

Add JRich at his PO and you are at $28.03mm or $65k from a max for Collins.  Remember you can extend JRich with up to a 20% raise off that number if you wish.

If you give up protection on the 2023 pick you can now trade the 2025 pick.  Doing a S&T for a FA using space and a pick requires less space than signing one outright.

If they decide to make Brunson RFA this summer instead of UFA next summer, it gives him a cap hold that is $1,359,000 higher than his 2021 salary.  That gives you $26.7 to sign someone like Collins or $27.6 if you do a Sign and Trade.

None of this contemplates keeping THJ.  You could substitute him in for JRich or JRich and WCS.  If you do the latter and keep Brunson at his RFA number, you can start THJ at $13.4 and still have room for a full max offer for Collins...more if you don't make Brunson a RFA.

Bottom line is trading Powell allows you to keep one of THJ or JRich and still get a max offer out there.  Will Green be ready for some rotation role by then?  One of the advantages of dealing Powell now is you might be able to do a deal for Collins using 25 and 27 now and retain the flexibility to keep both JRich and THJ (or replace one using space before signing Collins).


RE: ROSTER TALK: Mar 25 TDL | DAL has had interest in Aaron Gordon since Nov - Jason Terry - 03-17-2021

Knicks are at $95 million. Salary floor is $109 million. So they could add Powell and send out nothing 

NYK: Powell, pick protection removal, 2nd rd pick

DAL: Gordon and Fournier 

ORL: Johnson, Burke, Green, Terry, 2025 FRP and a 2nd rd pick

Orlando would save a significant amount of money(and they need to). They only get one 1st, but they get a few guards which they need

Luka/JRich/Fournier/Gordon/KP
JB/THj/DFS/Maxi/WCS

Have the room to keep everyone. Who’s starting could be fluid based on matchups and who’s hot


RE: ROSTER TALK: Mar 25 TDL | DAL has had interest in Aaron Gordon since Nov - cow - 03-17-2021

(03-17-2021, 12:58 AM)DanSchwartzgan Wrote: Bottom line is trading Powell allows you to keep one of THJ or JRich and still get a max offer out there.  Will Green be ready for some rotation role by then?  One of the advantages of dealing Powell now is you might be able to do a deal for Collins using 25 and 27 now and retain the flexibility to keep both JRich and THJ (or replace one using space before signing Collins).

Is the assumption that Powell is part of the Collins trade.  If not, doesn't 25 & 27 seem expensive for someone that seemingly wants out of their current situation and the team is happy to have him walk?

I just don't know about locking up that many future firsts as you wouldn't have flexibility until that 2025 pick is conveyed and who knows what type of opportunities will arise between now and then.


RE: ROSTER TALK: Mar 25 TDL | DAL has had interest in Aaron Gordon since Nov - omahen - 03-17-2021

(03-17-2021, 03:15 AM)cow Wrote: team is happy to have him walk


I don't think this is the case. They have actually clearly said they will not let him walk for nothing in free agency. 

Imho, the path to Collins is a SnT in the summer. Atlanta will demand a kings ransom at TDL because they want to make the playoffs. But as you said, they are not really willing to pay him max contract (but still they don't want to let him walk for nothing). So perhaps their asking price in the summer will be lower. Good thing is Collins needs to play along in the SnT - so his agent could make a difference here. Everything could actually be agreed at this point. Dallas saying we will offer Collins near max, Collins saying he likes Dallas only which decreases Atlanta negotiating power and Atlanta saying "ok we will let him walk for XXX price" - their only alternative is to match the offer.


RE: ROSTER TALK: Mar 25 TDL | DAL has had interest in Aaron Gordon since Nov - F Gump - 03-17-2021

(03-17-2021, 12:58 AM)DanSchwartzgan Wrote: Easiest way to think of it is to clear the slate (wipe away THJ, JRich and WCS) with Powell presumably gone in a trade.  It gives you almost $41.9mm in space.  Then add people back...

Add WCS and you are at $38.7mm (remember you don't add the full $4.1mm since there was a cap hold for a minimum slot already there).

Add JRich at his PO and you are at $28.03mm or $65k from a max for Collins.  Remember you can extend JRich with up to a 20% raise off that number if you wish.

If you give up protection on the 2023 pick you can now trade the 2025 pick.  Doing a S&T for a FA using space and a pick requires less space than signing one outright.

If they decide to make Brunson RFA this summer instead of UFA next summer, it gives him a cap hold that is $1,359,000 higher than his 2021 salary.  That gives you $26.7 to sign someone like Collins or $27.6 if you do a Sign and Trade.

None of this contemplates keeping THJ.  You could substitute him in for JRich or JRich and WCS.  If you do the latter and keep Brunson at his RFA number, you can start THJ at $13.4 and still have room for a full max offer for Collins...more if you don't make Brunson a RFA.

Bottom line is trading Powell allows you to keep one of THJ or JRich and still get a max offer out there.  Will Green be ready for some rotation role by then?  One of the advantages of dealing Powell now is you might be able to do a deal for Collins using 25 and 27 now and retain the flexibility to keep both JRich and THJ (or replace one using space before signing Collins).

Three notes about the above
1 The Mavs have no choice looming with Brunson. He has another year (2021-22) on his deal. There is no option.
2 If JRich opts in, that 11.6M is all he gets in 2021-22. Maybe that's enough. Maybe it's not.
3 If you sign and trade for a player using cap room (also known as an under-cap trade), or if you simply sign a player using your cap room, the amount of salary you can offer is exactly the same either way. Cap charges for empty roster slots cause that, and work identically in both instances.

Also, once the Mavs make the mental commitment to lose either THJ or JRich in favor of a max offer to Collins, doesn't that player then become quite expendable in a trade for Collins right now? And doesn't adding such outgoing salary and talent to the mix change the whole landscape on what they might be willing and able to do in other directions?


RE: ROSTER TALK: Mar 25 TDL | DAL has had interest in Aaron Gordon since Nov - omahen - 03-17-2021

(03-17-2021, 05:00 AM)F Gump Wrote: 1 The Mavs have no choice looming with Brunson. He has another year (2021-22) on his deal. There is no option.


You are not correct about this part. Last year of Brunson contract is not guaranteed


RE: ROSTER TALK: Mar 25 TDL | DAL has had interest in Aaron Gordon since Nov - dirkfansince1998 - 03-17-2021

Quick cap experiment. Let´s say the Mavs trade Johnson for a multi year contract (14-18m range) or give the new player a similar contract in the summer. Keep both Richardson and THJ for a combined salary that is similar to their current one. Decline the WCS option. Somehow get rid of Burke (maybe the Johnson trade).
Mavs would end up close to the luxury tax line but could actually avoid it with a Powell trade or in this case even a Powell strech/waive.

Example:

Johnson + Burke + 3 2nds --> Fournier

Resign THJ, Richardson, Fournier for a combined 47m (what they made this season)

Decline WCS option

Stretch/Waive Powell (5 years /4-5m cap hit)

End up in the 115-120m range

Sign a backup big (Theis/Holmes) for the full MLE

Still have space for 1-2 minimum contracts, maybe even the BAE (stay under the luxury tax)


RE: ROSTER TALK: Mar 25 TDL | DAL has had interest in Aaron Gordon since Nov - DanSchwartzgan - 03-17-2021

(03-17-2021, 01:50 AM)Jason Terry Wrote: Knicks are at $95 million. Salary floor is $109 million. So they could add Powell and send out nothing 

NYK: Powell, pick protection removal, 2nd rd pick

DAL: Gordon and Fournier 

ORL: Johnson, Burke, Green, Terry, 2025 FRP and a 2nd rd pick

Orlando would save a significant amount of money(and they need to). They only get one 1st, but they get a few guards which they need

Luka/JRich/Fournier/Gordon/KP
JB/THj/DFS/Maxi/WCS

Have the room to keep everyone. Who’s starting could be fluid based on matchups and who’s hot

I think there is a simpler version of this that seems more likely to me.  Send Powell to NY to free up the 25 pick.  In the same trade, send Green and said pick to Orlando for Gordon.  That would make Powell the "centerpiece" of the deal without forcing Orlando to take him.  Green and the 25 pick counts as the two pick asking price we've heard for Gordon, but Orlando saves the trade spread and Powell's salary in such a deal.

NY has some excess PG's they could add to the deal to help Orlando make it through the rest of the season.

(03-17-2021, 05:00 AM)F Gump Wrote: Three notes about the above
1 The Mavs have no choice looming with Brunson. He has another year (2021-22) on his deal. There is no option.
2 If JRich opts in, that 11.6M is all he gets in 2021-22. Maybe that's enough. Maybe it's not.
3 If you sign and trade for a player using cap room (also known as an under-cap trade), or if you simply sign a player using your cap room, the amount of salary you can offer is exactly the same either way. Cap charges for empty roster slots cause that, and work identically in both instances.

Also, once the Mavs make the mental commitment to lose either THJ or JRich in favor of a max offer to Collins, doesn't that player then become quite expendable in a trade for Collins right now? And doesn't adding such outgoing salary and talent to the mix change the whole landscape on what they might be willing and able to do in other directions?

1. Mav's do have a choice on Brunson.  He is non-guaranteed in 21-22.  It is like the Mitchel Robinson situation.  Dallas can make a qualifying offer to Brunson and make him a RFA this summer rather than letting him get to UFA next summer.

2. Note the word extension.  JRich opting in and extending is a way to get him a new contract while avoiding his larger cap hold.  He'd be eligible for a 20% bump in the first year of his extension and 8% raises after that.  Dallas would have to be able to get to the total dollars he would have otherwise gotten to in free agency over the term of the deal, but doing so saves over $5.8mm in cap hold.  Adding 3 years in this way would be like JRich signing a deal in free agency that averages $13.9mm.  As you say, maybe that's enough.  Maybe it's not.

3. I've been tripped up on this one in the past, so I think I have this right.  There is an incomplete roster charge that reserves space for at least the rookie minimum for for teams with fewer than 12 players.  At that point you can trade players into your remaining space.  But if you are signing a player, a 13th slot is added before calculating what you can pay the 12th player.  That 13th slot restricts the amount a free agent can receive by about $900k compared to what a player can be traded for.


RE: ROSTER TALK: Mar 25 TDL | DAL has had interest in Aaron Gordon since Nov - StepBackJay - 03-17-2021

NYK has their sights set much higher. They want Dipo or some other bigger name. They are finally a decent basketball team. They aren't going to settle for Dwight Powell.