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2020-2021 ROSTER TALK: Archived - Printable Version

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RE: ROSTER TALK: Mar 25 TDL | Marc Spears: Mavs are shopping KP - Mavs03 - 02-27-2021

I'm a big fan of John Collins from Atlanta.  I think he could be our Robin.  Dallas apparently is preparing to offer a significant contract to Collins in free agency.  There's been tension in the locker room between Collins and Trae Young.  Altlanta drafted Collin's replacement in Okongwu.

Trade proposal:

Dallas trades KP and Johnson

Atlanta trades Collins, Capela and Gallinari

Dallas had interest in Gallinari in free agency this past year.  He's not exactly lighting it up for Atlanta.  Capela could be a force defensively for us.  He does have 2 additional years left on his contract.

Atlanta gets their stretch 5 in KP.  Okongwu slides into the PF position.  Hunter is their SF.  Reddish is their SG.  And Young is their PG.  Very talented starting 5.  Johnson would be an expiring freeing up more money for Atlanta to get someone else in free agency.  Also, my guess is Atlanta would not make the playoffs this year so they would add yet another lottery player to their roster next year.

Dallas starters:

Luka
J-Rich
DFS
Collins
Capela

Bench:

Brunson
THJ
Kleber
Gallinari
Powell

I think that's a deep team.  We would have 3 decent defenders in our starting lineup in J-Rich, DFS and Capela.  I like the scoring off the bench.  I think that team could make some noise in the playoffs.


RE: ROSTER TALK: Mar 25 TDL | Marc Spears: Mavs are shopping KP - StepBackJay - 02-27-2021

I would be for that trade but some have said the Collins + Capela pairing hasn't been that great.


RE: ROSTER TALK: Mar 25 TDL | Marc Spears: Mavs are shopping KP - dirkfansince1998 - 02-27-2021

(02-27-2021, 02:48 PM)Omega_Supreme Wrote: I just showed you a video with Draymond with 18 assists and your first sentence says, "Draymond isn't dangerous as a ballhandler".

SMH

KP is very dangerous as a cutter, he just does not do it much. Golden St. is not going to post him up they are perfectly fine with him parked at the 3 point line opening up the lanes for Draymond's pick and roll 2 man game with Steph. 

Not sure if you have watched them as much as I have but lots of people on twitter and other analysts think it could be a perfect match as well.

I don´ think you watched the video. We talked about pick and roll ballhandling and no Draymond is not a good finisher of the dribble.
I haven´t watched them but you haven´t even realized that on ball screens aren´t a big part of the Warriors offense? In the entire video Draymond had one assist as the pick and roll ballhandler. That´s it. Rest is him finding the open cutter/spot up shooter or creating as the roll man. That´s not what you described in the orgininal post.
Draymond is one of the most gifted passers in the league and has good handles but he isn´t going to break down the offense as the main ballhandler. The offense is build around Curry´s movement. He creates the open cuts and 3-point shots for the rest of the team. Draymond without Curry wasn´t doing anything last season.
A Draymond/KP pick and roll would lead to an easy switch. Neither is going to beat his defender of the dribble. Neither is a reliable iso scorer after the switch.

No one denies that KP is a good floor spacer and that could certainly help the Warriors but we already saw that he wasn´t happy when he played a similar role in Dallas.
KP is a terrible screener and that´s probably the most important task for a bigman in the Warriors offense. Free Curry (or Klay when/if he returns) with hard (or moving Big Grin) screens. After the screen the bigman usually cuts to the rim. I guess KP couid also pop to the 3-point line instead.

And I haven´t even started with the defensive problems. KP is struggling in a Mavs scheme that tries to hide his lack of mobility. Not sure how the Warriors are going to run a switch everything scheme with him on the floor.

Don´t get me wrong. KP is an upgrade over the current bigman but he is not the perfect fit for them. I can still imagine a scenario where the Warriors go for it because they have to match the superior talent of both LA teams and the Nets. Just don´t think that it would move the needle for them.


RE: ROSTER TALK: Mar 25 TDL | Marc Spears: Mavs are shopping KP - StepBackJay - 02-27-2021

(02-27-2021, 02:55 PM)DanSchwartzgan Wrote: Put me in the camp that says KP would be great (when he plays) in GS.  Their remaining window with Curry (32 and signed for one more year) is a major consideration.  Thompson and Green are both signed for 3 seasons past this one (as is KP with a PO for the final year).  They don't seem to have a budget and can't really afford to be too cheap with Curry's UFA year coming up.  Wiseman and the TWolve pick are there to bring back talent for the current era and KP fits the bill.  What they have left after the 23/24 season is a problem for another day.  

I don't believe the Mav Brass's protests that they haven't discussed KP with anyone.  I don't believe it is necessarily GS who leaked this (there could easily be a third team involved.

I don't do this for anything less than Wiseman and the best GS pick this summer.  I suspect that is not the issue.  The issue (assuming this is all true) is probably the filler.  There are versions of this that would be built around Wiggins as filler (which probably puts Dallas into the tax).  There are versions of this that would be built around Oubre and more filler (which would put GS FURTHER into the tax).  For argument sake, let's say Dallas is trying to use an expiring player and a pick or pick-swap to get another player.  Dallas would want expiring Oubre to send out.  GS could easily say..."no, send one of your own expiring contracts to Atlanta because you need to take Wiggins".

I do think KP would be an amazing fit there. As much as they might like Wiseman KP would help them win right now. If I am Dalllas I think I'd want the cap space. That Minney pick would be great but then Wiggins money would a problem and I don't know that Mavs would value him as a player.

To me the deal would be KP for Wiseman + Oubre, filler and the sticking point would be that pick. Mavs would want it and GSW wouldn't want to give it up. It depends on who is more desperate. The Warriors could use that pick to try to upgrade Wiggins or otherwise fetch a very good player. In terms of star power I feel like KP is the biggest star with the best fit to be that 4th star in sort of the Durant role but much less ball dominant.

Time will tell but for the Mavs Wiseman to me is a better long-term fit and would allow Mavs to spend money on other positions.


RE: ROSTER TALK: Mar 25 TDL | Marc Spears: Mavs are shopping KP - Mavs2021 - 02-27-2021

If the Warriors offered Wiseman+Wolves pick+ Wiggins Porzingis would be gone already (I hope).


RE: ROSTER TALK: Mar 25 TDL | Marc Spears: Mavs are shopping KP - DanSchwartzgan - 02-27-2021

(02-27-2021, 02:59 PM)cow Wrote: I never would have guessed you thought there was validity to this.

[Image: 883c712fbfe07607104c46e83e44af2d.gif]

The trade junkie in me is always interested in thinking through the possibilities.  What else we gonna talk about...Drummond?

The pragmatist in me says this is highly unlikely (though it would help to have more true data on relationships within the organization and health).  Like I've said, I'd like to avoid selling low (if there is a sell).  But, I have no idea if this is as bad as it gets or if it could turn down another level from here (injury or grievances becoming more public).  People tend to think patience fosters improved value, but that isn't always the case.

FWIW, I like the idea of Wiseman and Pick, but the filler matters in terms of further roster building.  KP will probably post 30/15 tonight and may do it every game for the next week, but he won't make the season without another stretch of missed games.  What is the saying about the most important ability being availability?


RE: ROSTER TALK: Mar 25 TDL | Marc Spears: Mavs are shopping KP - StepBackJay - 02-27-2021

(02-27-2021, 03:55 PM)Mavs2021 Wrote: If the Warriors offered Wiseman+Wolves pick+ Wiggins Porzingis would be gone already (I hope).

I doubt anything has been offered bc its not close enough to the trade deadline. I think it would be very hard to pry that Minney pick away from the Warriors. Essentially that would mean that KP is worth basically two top 3 NBA picks. Granted there is a Wiggins salary dump that's a part of that but I have a hard time picturing that.

I think the deal would be Wiseman + Oubre, expiring for KP. Mavs would get cap space which gives them flexibility. The Wolves would not be selling their future so to speak as they would still have the Minnesota pick to draft a player of the future. As it stands they don't need two top 3 rookies, they need a win-now star. KP would be an excellent fit there.


RE: ROSTER TALK: Mar 25 TDL | Marc Spears: Mavs are shopping KP - jesusshuttlesworth82 - 02-27-2021

(02-27-2021, 02:55 PM)DanSchwartzgan Wrote: I don't do this for anything less than Wiseman and the best GS pick this summer.  I suspect that is not the issue.  

I suspect that is the issue.  I'm not buying BOTH Wiseman and the TWolves pick is in play.  Otherwise, the Mavs should have pulled the trigger already.


RE: ROSTER TALK: Mar 25 TDL | Marc Spears: Mavs are shopping KP - omahen - 02-27-2021

(02-27-2021, 03:58 PM)DanSchwartzgan Wrote: KP will probably post 30/15 tonight and may do it every game for the next week, but he won't make the season without another stretch of missed games.  What is the saying about the most important ability being availability?


That is all true. But did anyone actually believe KP will play like 90 % of games each season? I think Mavs knew what they were buying and risks associated with it. The problem is, that he is not a "30/15" player when he is able to play. Problem is he needs half a season to get to that "30/15" level (season 1 in Dallas, remains to be seen this season). Assuming he is not traded and Mavs actually make it, I think his value will be set by how he performs in playoffs. If he will be the best version of himself, the value will be high. If he is meh or injured, his contract is Wiggins level, imho.


RE: ROSTER TALK: Mar 25 TDL | Marc Spears: Mavs are shopping KP - Fuerza1 - 02-27-2021

(02-27-2021, 11:43 AM)SleepingHero Wrote: I actually totally disagree with this.

Spears is closer to Stephen A Smith than Woj. In fact, he's almost always wrong in his predictions. 

Here he is saying on ESPN that there's no way the Lakers get Davis by trade. 

In fact I've gone back and skimmed almost every single story Spears has wrote on The Undefeated since 2018 and he almost NEVER makes predictions on paper. Instead he writes exposès about transactions after they've occured. So now we're going to believe he has an incredible piece of info from one of the most tight lipped orgs, that is also not corroborated by the 2 most reliable reporters on the Mavs? 

All I'm saying is believing Spears rumor mongering is akin to believing Chris Broussard.

That AD "won't get traded scoop" wasn't really wrong, he said that when Dell Demps was still the Pelicans GM, and the Lakers did not own a top 5 pick in the NBA draft. It wasn't until the front office changed and the lottery balls went NOP's way to move on from him.

Marc Spears used to work for The Vertical w/ Woj, he knows his NBA s***. Saying he's a sensationalist is hogwash, here is a link that [will surely get ignored], and includes a Woj quote about how CREDIBLE Spears is: https://awfulannouncing.com/2016/yahoos-marc-spears-joins-espns-the-undefeated.html

"Marc gave me so much credibility with players in the league. Because I worked with him, a lot of guys were more apt to trust me. That was true with agents, coaches, executives too. Once we hired Marc at Yahoo, everyone’s game elevated. Walk into an arena with Marc and it was just remarkable to watch him work. It wasn’t only the coaches and players, the referees and scouts. Marc knew the ushers too. He knows everyone. There is such a pied piper quality to him. I learned so much from Marc." - Woj


RE: ROSTER TALK: Mar 25 TDL | Marc Spears: Mavs are shopping KP - DanSchwartzgan - 02-27-2021

(02-27-2021, 04:03 PM)StepBackJay Wrote: I doubt anything has been offered bc its not close enough to the trade deadline. I think it would be very hard to pry that Minney pick away from the Warriors. Essentially that would mean that KP is worth basically two top 3 NBA picks. Granted there is a Wiggins salary dump that's a part of that but I have a hard time picturing that.

I think the deal would be Wiseman + Oubre, expiring for KP. Mavs would get cap space which gives them flexibility. The Wolves would not be selling their future so to speak as they would still have the Minnesota pick to draft a player of the future. As it stands they don't need two top 3 rookies, they need a win-now star. KP would be an excellent fit there.

Technically, the Minnesota pick is top 3 protected this year.  It doesn't change your point that much, just pointing out the technicality.  There is almost a 50% chance it is number 5, but can't be worse than that.  If not conveyed, it is unprotected in 2022...a year Dallas would have two picks and could trade one for something else.

I don't think Wiseman Oubre plus filler is nearly enough.  The other filler GS has isn't very attractive.  I thought about adding the GS pick, but they don't control it unless it is top 20 protected.  I guess they could convert to 2022 if not conveyed as GS still has their 2023 pick.


RE: ROSTER TALK: Mar 25 TDL | Marc Spears: Mavs are shopping KP - cow - 02-27-2021

(02-27-2021, 03:58 PM)DanSchwartzgan Wrote: The trade junkie in me is always interested in thinking through the possibilities.  What else we gonna talk about...Drummond?

The pragmatist in me says this is highly unlikely (though it would help to have more true data on relationships within the organization and health).  Like I've said, I'd like to avoid selling low (if there is a sell).  But, I have no idea if this is as bad as it gets or if it could turn down another level from here (injury or grievances becoming more public).  People tend to think patience fosters improved value, but that isn't always the case.

FWIW, I like the idea of Wiseman and Pick, but the filler matters in terms of further roster building.  KP will probably post 30/15 tonight and may do it every game for the next week, but he won't make the season without another stretch of missed games.  What is the saying about the most important ability being availability?

I like how much having Drummond on the Mavs pisses some people off so it's fun to ruffle those feathers.

I see all the KP trade talk as just that.  I don't think there is an ounce of truth to it.   I figured you'd be in the same camp...not that there is anything wrong with either camp.  I do think you are being overly optimistic about bringing back Wiseman + the Minny pick.  

I'm 100% in line with you regarding the possibility that KP's trade value could go down further.  It's just hard to gauge how happy or unhappy the KP relationship at this point is and what his trade value is league wide.  I just have a hard time thinking Cuban and Donnie are ready to pull the trigger.  Maybe it does come down to availability which is certainly a valid concern but loops back into his trade value.

This drama certainly is par for the course for this season though.


RE: ROSTER TALK: Mar 25 TDL | Marc Spears: Mavs are shopping KP - HoosierDaddyKid - 02-27-2021

dirkfansince1998 Wrote:I just don´t see how KP would fit with GS. They are playing a super switch heavy defense and in the most important moments of the season they always go small. Draymond himself is probably a better center than KP.
Not sure about the fit on offense. I guess he could space the floor but the Warriors aren´t playing a 5-out scheme. No team is running less onball screens. No team is setting more off ball screens. The entire offense is build around Currys off ball movement. KP would need to set hard screens to free Curry. Draymond is the ballhandler, Curry the focal point that draws all the attention with his off ball movement.  In the last few years the center position has been all about the "garbage man" role. Rebound, set screens, defend the post on defense.
Not sure if they are willing to change the entire offense for KP.

I agree. Teams want to put KP in P&R's because he can't show on them with the quickness,  and with a lack of foot speed, he gets beat mercifully.


RE: ROSTER TALK: Mar 25 TDL | Marc Spears: Mavs are shopping KP - Kammrath - 02-27-2021

RE: Marc Spears

Great stuff @"Fuerza1", good job bringing more clarity to this so people understand just how connected he is in the league.


RE: ROSTER TALK: Mar 25 TDL | WAS among teams monitoring KP situation - HoosierDaddyKid - 02-27-2021

StepBackJay Wrote:He missed 3 games in the span of a week. Said his back felt good yesterday but the coaches wanted him to practice. People act like a sore back is the worst thing ever, it's not a big deal.

You try playing with one then.....


RE: ROSTER TALK: Mar 25 TDL | Marc Spears: Mavs are shopping KP - StepBackJay - 02-27-2021

(02-27-2021, 04:27 PM)HoosierDaddyKid Wrote: I agree. Teams want to put KP in P&R's because he can't show on them with the quickness,  and with a lack of foot speed, he gets beat mercifully.

I don't know that KP really ever has shown much on PnR. Last year he was really good I thought and most of the time he was dropping. This year he just doesn't look good back there. Gets scored on way too easily. Foot work isn't good.

From my layman's eye it seems like Mavs are either dropping or switching on screens. I don't know how often our bigs will do a show on a screen but seems like not a lot.


RE: ROSTER TALK: Mar 25 TDL | Marc Spears: Mavs are shopping KP - Fuerza1 - 02-27-2021

I created a trade that will save the Dallas Mavericks, picks need to likely be involved but I'd be thrilled with this:

https://tradenba.com/trades/tyhpTt6OI


Starters: THJ, DFS, Luka, Gordon, Whiteside/WCS

Bench: Brunson, Richardson, Fournier, Kleber, Whiteside/WCS 

More importantly, Mavs save long term salary.


RE: ROSTER TALK: Mar 25 TDL | Marc Spears: Mavs are shopping KP - omahen - 02-27-2021

How about this Beal trade idea, if Washington decides to call it a day?

Chi: KP
Was: Brunson, Markannen, Johnson, Chi FRP, Mavs FRP
Dal: Beal, Sato, Felicio, Gafford

Mavs would really empty the cupboard and would have to really strike gold with MLE in the summer. But Beal would make Mavs look as credible contender.


RE: ROSTER TALK: Mar 25 TDL | Marc Spears: Mavs are shopping KP - cow - 02-27-2021

(02-27-2021, 05:59 PM)omahen Wrote: How about this Beal trade idea, if Washington decides to call it a day?

Chi: KP
Was: Brunson, Markannen, Johnson, Chi FRP, Mavs FRP
Dal: Beal, Sato, Felicio, Gafford

Mavs would really empty the cupboard and would have to really strike gold with MLE in the summer. But Beal would make Mavs look as credible contender.


I think Washington can get more value out of Beal.  I think the starting point is 3FRPs+.  I'm not sure if I love or hate the idea of Markannen and Bertans on the same team.


RE: ROSTER TALK: Mar 25 TDL | Marc Spears: Mavs are shopping KP - Tikkun Olam - 02-27-2021

(02-27-2021, 04:07 PM)omahen Wrote: That is all true. But did anyone actually believe KP will play like 90 % of games each season? I think Mavs knew what they were buying and risks associated with it. The problem is, that he is not a "30/15" player when he is able to play. Problem is he needs half a season to get to that "30/15" level (season 1 in Dallas, remains to be seen this season). Assuming he is not traded and Mavs actually make it, I think his value will be set by how he performs in playoffs. If he will be the best version of himself, the value will be high. If he is meh or injured, his contract is Wiggins level, imho.