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2020-2021 ROSTER TALK: Archived - Printable Version

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RE: ROSTER TALK: Trade/FA Ideas (Mar 25 TDL?) + Salary Chart - michaeltex - 12-15-2020

(12-15-2020, 10:28 AM)omahen Wrote: It will be really interesting to see who will get out of the starting unit once KP returns. It might be totally possible, this will be Powell as Mavs want to keep three switchable wings next to KP and Luka. We have seen against Milwaukee that rebounding wasn't a problem at all as Mavs actually won the rebounding battle  Imagine KP instead of Powell on offense - Lopez would be basically useless as one of the Mavs would be totally open on perimeter all the time. 

Mavs are incredibly deep on the bench. This is great as it will not be difficult to say goodbye to a couple of guys for improvements in the starting unit.

As for Powell - it is important he is playing. His contract is becoming less negative with every game. While his individual numbers aren't impressive it is clear he has a positive impact on the team. Despite missing KP, Mavs had no problems against the "mighty" Milwaukee. 

As for rotation, I think the starting pecking order is quite clear after first two preseason games and I don't expect much changes before KP returns. It is fair that a little bigger sample is collected before making big conclusions. First major change will be made once KP returns (one guy will fall out of starting five to second unit and one guy to third unit). Of course there will be rests, injuries, perhaps COVID, where other guys will get their chance. 

1. Luka
2. JRich
3. THJ
4. DFS
5. Powell
6. Kleber
7. Brunson
8. Burke
9. Johnson
10. Green
11. WCS (currently looking better than Johnson but on extremely small sample - might be used against big centers of Phoenix, LAC and LAL).
Personally, I think WCS gets more burn, especially in B2Bs where they might want to control Powell and KP's minutes. If WCS continues to show reliability on 3pt attempts, then that might change the rotation a bit. I think he already showed some chops as a dive cutter and interior defense. If he can extend his scoring range out to the 3pt line, then he's going to see more minutes. I like the work he's put in and he seems like a good team guy.

TBH, I thought he was just emergency filler once Powell went down and KP had some issues. Figured he'd be gone after the season, but now I'm hopeful he's going to be a contributor and maybe trade goods for another KP-type acquisition. Although I'm just fine with running with what's in camp for a while to see how everything gels.


RE: ROSTER TALK: Trade/FA Ideas (Mar 25 TDL?) + Salary Chart - HanspardsShowerVoice - 12-15-2020

(12-15-2020, 10:37 AM)khaled1987 Wrote: I think Johnson is the strongest candidate for least minutes.
he will be that guy we will use sporadically but effectively 

Agreed.  I think Johnson is a guy who plays sporadically on most nights but might be called on to play bigger minutes against teams with multiple high level wings (Celts, Clips).  Mostly provides depth and injury protection (and a big expiring contract).


RE: ROSTER TALK: Trade/FA Ideas (Mar 25 TDL?) + Salary Chart - dirkfansince1998 - 12-15-2020

(12-15-2020, 10:48 AM)fifteenth Wrote: df98, I love your posting. You're a good read and you know your stuff. But do you really believe that Rick starts Powell with no justification? I mean, surely it's just that you and Rick disagree, right? Or maybe I'm misreading what you're saying.

I think based on what we have seen from Powell he isn´t close to the player that he was prior to his injury. With a reduced vertical and Dirk-like lateral quickness he has been a liability. Not to mention that both Kleber and WCS looked great against the Bucks.
That said. The sample size is super small and RC is obviously watching them every single day. I think right now they are giving Powell the benefit of the doubt. Maybe he just needs more time and even more important reps. I also think that the Mavs don´t want to tank his trade value even more.
RC also mentioned that he really wanted Maxi to come of the bench last season and I don´t think that changed. Meaning that WCS is the more likely replacement for Powell in the starting five. I don´t think WCS has earned the coaches trust yet. He is not as familar with the Mavs scheme and tends to make questionable decisions.


RE: ROSTER TALK: Trade/FA Ideas (Mar 25 TDL?) + Salary Chart - fifteenth - 12-15-2020

(12-15-2020, 11:15 AM)dirkfansince1998 Wrote: I think based on what we have seen from Powell he isn´t close to the player that he was prior to his injury. With a reduced vertical and Dirk-like lateral quickness he has been a liability. Not to mention that both Kleber and WCS looked great against the Bucks.
That said. The sample size is super small and RC is obviously watching them every single day. I think right now they are giving Powell the benefit of the doubt. Maybe he just needs more time and even more important reps. I also think that the Mavs don´t want to tank his trade value even more.
RC also mentioned that he really wanted Maxi to come of the bench last season and I don´t think that changed. Meaning that WCS is the more likely replacement for Powell in the starting five. I don´t think WCS has earned the coaches trust yet. He is not as familar with the Mavs scheme and tends to make questionable decisions.

Great analysis. I surely couldn't say it better.


RE: ROSTER TALK: Trade/FA Ideas (Mar 25 TDL?) + Salary Chart - speedkilz88 - 12-15-2020

Don't be surprised when the NBA ends up with one of the covid vaccines after the medical personnel in the us.  Just like how they ended up with test kits super early.  Money talks.


RE: ROSTER TALK: Trade/FA Ideas (Mar 25 TDL?) + Salary Chart - HanspardsShowerVoice - 12-15-2020

I think the big feather Powell will always have in his cap is he's just a super high level screener for Luka's PnR partner in regards to setting a hard physical screen (without fouling) to get Luka seperation, reading the defense and timing his roll, and now he's pretty good dribble drive 5 to add on top of that.

Jumping up and dunking the lob is the easy part. Very few of these plays happen because DP skies over 3 defenders outstretched arms to catch the lob. A lot of the time he's wide open by the basket without anyone guarding him because he just perfectly read the defense and timed his roll. They are theoretically one of those plays that "anybody" could make but they consistently don't, which is why Powell is 99th percentile.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=O9r0CKxQJv0


RE: ROSTER TALK: Trade/FA Ideas (Mar 25 TDL?) + Salary Chart - KillerLeft - 12-15-2020

(12-15-2020, 11:29 AM)HanspardsShowerVoice Wrote: Jumping up and dunking the lob is the easy part.  Very few of these plays happen because DP skies over 3 defenders outstretched arms to catch the lob.  A lot of the time he's wide open by the basket without anyone guarding him because he just perfectly read the defense and timed his roll.  They are theoretically one of those plays that "anybody" could make but they consistently don't, which is why Powell is 99th percentile.


Absofreakinglutely. 

While it's true that Powell's injury might've sapped him of enough to make him much less effective (time will tell), it's a completely false narrative that all he could do before the injury was "run and jump." Yes, he could do those things, but it's that Stanford brain that made the Luka/Powell combo so great, not the running and jumping. Knowing when to screen, when to slip, when to expect the ball on a short roll, when to go super hard, which angle to take, the timing, etc, etc, etc.


RE: ROSTER TALK: Trade/FA Ideas (Mar 25 TDL?) + Salary Chart - fifteenth - 12-15-2020

(12-15-2020, 11:55 AM)KillerLeft Wrote: Absofreakinglutely. 

While it's true that Powell's injury might've sapped him of enough to make him much less effective (time will tell), it's a completely false narrative that all he could do before the injury was "run and jump." Yes, he could do those things, but it's that Stanford brain that made the Luka/Powell combo so great, not the running and jumping. Knowing when to screen, when to slip, when to expect the ball on a short roll, when to go super hard, which angle to take, the timing, etc, etc, etc.

I agree, except...I think the running and jumping helps too


RE: ROSTER TALK: Trade/FA Ideas (Mar 25 TDL?) + Salary Chart - KillerLeft - 12-15-2020

(12-15-2020, 12:03 PM)fifteenth Wrote: I agree, except...I think the running and jumping helps too

Of course. But there are like 100 people in the NBA who can run and jump just as well, and some of them have great ball-handlers who can read like Luka, too. 

My experience with fans who are very anti-Powell is that they don't fully understand how great he is at the niche he has carved out for himself. Probably because he makes it look so easy. 

Post-injury Powell is a different story, but I'm pulling for him.


RE: ROSTER TALK: Trade/FA Ideas (Mar 25 TDL?) + Salary Chart - ClutchDirk - 12-15-2020

(12-15-2020, 11:55 AM)KillerLeft Wrote: Absofreakinglutely. 

While it's true that Powell's injury might've sapped him of enough to make him much less effective (time will tell), it's a completely false narrative that all he could do before the injury was "run and jump." Yes, he could do those things, but it's that Stanford brain that made the Luka/Powell combo so great, not the running and jumping. Knowing when to screen, when to slip, when to expect the ball on a short roll, when to go super hard, which angle to take, the timing, etc, etc, etc.

This...his timing and reaction was elite...he always seemed to know when to move and where to move to...when DAJ was here I noticed how horrible he was compared to Powell...it was like he was waiting for someone to tell him when to roll and not studder step and hesitate while staring at the ballhandler...a healthy Powell makes Luka's life easier...


RE: ROSTER TALK: Trade/FA Ideas (Mar 25 TDL?) + Salary Chart - StepBackJay - 12-15-2020

Seeing Wall and KD 2 years (ish) removed from achilles gives me a lot of hope for Powell. Powell just tore his achilles in January. I think he will be very close to old Powell next season given the progress we have already seen. He is moving around fine to me, still moves very fluidly. 

His vertical has for sure taken a hit, but we will see improvement there over time. I do think it's going to be a full season + offseason before we see him jumping similar what he had done before. That being said I think he will still be able to do what he needs to do in terms of being a lob threat. Also remember that the Bucks defense is really tough so he and Luka had to work for everything they got inside.

I am not a huge Powell guy by any stretch but I am cautiously optimistic. The Wolves defense should a good test bc Powell carved them up last year. I expect him to have his best game of the preseason against the Wolves. I am still frustrated that Rick starts Powell especially now but we will just have to see how it goes. Powell got the least amount of minutes last night from the starters so I could see a scenario where Rick keeps Powell in low 20s and finishes with Maxi who is clearly the better player.

Come playoff time Rick will do what's best for the team. I don't think his usage of Powell is going to cost wins bc I don't think Powell is going to get a ton of crunch time minutes down the stretch.


RE: ROSTER TALK: Trade/FA Ideas (Mar 25 TDL?) + Salary Chart - StepBackJay - 12-15-2020

(12-15-2020, 11:29 AM)HanspardsShowerVoice Wrote: Very few of these plays happen because DP skies over 3 defenders outstretched arms to catch the lob.

He definitely would have *some* of those, that is lobs where he gets the ball up top higher than the guys around him can jump. I agree tho that the lack of those aren't going to hurt his overall game.

I want everyone to remember Giannis was in the paint a lot of the time and that's as good an interior defender as you can ask for. Let's see what Powell can do against KAT who doesn't play a whole lot of defense. I would expect the PnR rolls are going to work a lot better next game. 

Powell had to mix is up more by drifting to the perimeter after a lot of his picks. I don't like Powell's shot at all, its too herky-jerky for me. I don't think he's got a good enough form to ever be reliable from outside. He wants to pump and drive but eventually teams are going to stop biting on those fakes and let him brick.

Again this is matchup based, I expect Powell to do a lot of rim-rolling against lesser defensive teams.


RE: ROSTER TALK: Trade/FA Ideas (Mar 25 TDL?) + Salary Chart - DanSchwartzgan - 12-15-2020

(12-15-2020, 09:17 AM)KillerLeft Wrote: I think that Green and one other guy who expects to play aren't going to play very consistently, especially when KP comes back. Green is a rookie, so it won't bother him or anyone else so much, but who's that other guy gonna be? Johnson? WCS? It's not going to be Powell, that's for sure.

I think Green will at least get some second quarter burn.  Carlisle does this sometimes with young players and then tightens the rotation in the second half.  If you see Green consistently playing in the second half of games once KP is back, it will tell you a lot about what the team thinks.

We should all be routing for WCS to take the Johnson minutes relegating Johnson to Boban status.  We have a TO that is cheap on WCS next season and full Bird rights the season after that.  If last night is anything close to real and can be done with consistency we filled a very important hole.

_________________________________________________________________________________________________
dirkfansince1998

I think based on what we have seen from Powell he isn´t close to the player that he was prior to his injury. With a reduced vertical and Dirk-like lateral quickness he has been a liability.  

That said. The sample size is super small and RC is obviously watching them every single day. I think right now they are giving Powell the benefit of the doubt. 
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

Powell is miles ahead of where the board presumed him to be as recently as two weeks ago.  Do we really have to move the goal line after two pre-season games.  BTW, part of what makes Maxi look good is he spends a fraction of the time guarding Gianis that Powell does.  If this was anyone else but the hated Powell, we'd be rejoicing at the amazing progress.  Maybe we wait a month or two and see what we actually have before making snap judgments.

Hanspard is right.  Powell does some things extremely well, but they aren't the things the board necessarily values.  Carlisle does value them and has for years.  At some point we have to consider that maybe it is the board that is off-base on this.


RE: ROSTER TALK: Trade/FA Ideas (Mar 25 TDL?) + Salary Chart - HanspardsShowerVoice - 12-15-2020

(12-15-2020, 12:13 PM)StepBackJay Wrote: Seeing Wall and KD 2 years (ish) removed from achilles gives me a lot of hope for Powell.

It's definitely a severe injury, but they've improved the surgical techniques and rehab quite a bit on Achilles that makes it not as severe as it used to be.   They used to fillet your calf like a fish to sew the tendon back together.   This caused a lot of scar tissue and you lost of flexibility and explosion in your lower leg just from that alone.    Now in a lot of cases they can use small minimally invasive incisions.   That's how guys can come back in ~8 months now.    But honestly, we haven't had very many elite caliber players suffer Achilles in their primes (and I'm not including Powell in that category).   The biggest success story is Dominique who had his when he was 21 and bounced back.   Isiah, Ewing and Kobe  were pretty much already washed up when they had theirs.   Boogie was 27, but he just has had one catastrophic injury after another and it's hard to just isolate what impact the Achilles itself had.  I mean, it seems like Wes is the poster child of what a catastrophic  injury this is, but imho Wes was always just a high level role player and has stayed a role player for contending teams for another 5 years to this day. Same for Rudy Gay, honestly.


RE: ROSTER TALK: Trade/FA Ideas (Mar 25 TDL?) + Salary Chart - ItsGoTime - 12-15-2020

Powell has done those things extremely well, true. As a starter in the playoffs though, those things are pretty easily game planned for. We're turning the corner on being a "who cares as long as it's fun to watch" team to a team that needs to work towards the playoff wins. 

Powell doing what he does off the bench isn't as big a deal in the playoffs and teams would hardly game plan for it.


RE: ROSTER TALK: Trade/FA Ideas (Mar 25 TDL?) + Salary Chart - dirkfansince1998 - 12-15-2020

(12-15-2020, 12:30 PM)DanSchwartzman Wrote: I think Green will at least get some second quarter burn.  Carlisle does this sometimes with young players and then tightens the rotation in the second half.  If you see Green consistently playing in the second half of games once KP is back, it will tell you a lot about what the team thinks.

We should all be routing for WCS to take the Johnson minutes relegating Johnson to Boban status.  We have a TO that is cheap on WCS next season and full Bird rights the season after that.  If last night is anything close to real and can be done with consistency we filled a very important hole.

_________________________________________________________________________________________________
dirkfansince1998

I think based on what we have seen from Powell he isn´t close to the player that he was prior to his injury. With a reduced vertical and Dirk-like lateral quickness he has been a liability.  

That said. The sample size is super small and RC is obviously watching them every single day. I think right now they are giving Powell the benefit of the doubt. 
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

Powell is miles ahead of where the board presumed him to be as recently as two weeks ago.  Do we really have to move the goal line after two pre-season games.  BTW, part of what makes Maxi look good is he spends a fraction of the time guarding Gianis that Powell does.  If this was anyone else but the hated Powell, we'd be rejoicing at the amazing progress.  Maybe we wait a month or two and see what we actually have before making snap judgments.

Hanspard is right.  Powell does some things extremely well, but they aren't the things the board necessarily values.  Carlisle does value them and has for years.  At some point we have to consider that maybe it is the board that is off-base on this.

Maxi guarded Giannis on nearly every single possession when both were on the floor at the same time and he did a way better job than Powell. That´s not a suprise because defending athletic 4/5s or even perimeter players has always been Maxis biggest strength. He probably had the best games of his career against Siakam and Zion last season.
In the last few weeks I saw a lot of posts that had Powell starting. Personally I expected him to be worse and that´s the case right now. I am not as concerned about Powells offense. As previous posts mentioned. He doesn´t need to jump out of the building to be a net positive in RCs offense. What I am concerned about is him moving like oldman Dirk on defense. It´s not like Giannis was the only one that torched him. Even Bobby Portis did whatever he wanted and the pick and roll defense (one of his strength prior to the injury) was really bad. 
I am not against an approach where he gets the time and opportunity to prove his on court value. Question is how much time.


RE: ROSTER TALK: Trade/FA Ideas (Mar 25 TDL?) + Salary Chart - StepBackJay - 12-15-2020

(12-15-2020, 12:58 PM)HanspardsShowerVoice Wrote: It's definitely a severe injury, but they've improved the surgical techniques and rehab quite a bit on Achilles that makes it not as severe as it used to be.   They used to fillet your calf like a fish to sew the tendon back together.   This caused a lot of scar tissue and you lost of flexibility and explosion in your lower leg just from that alone.    Now in a lot of cases they can use small minimally invasive incisions.   That's how guys can come back in ~8 months now.    But honestly, we haven't had very many elite caliber players suffer Achilles in their primes (and I'm not including Powell in that category).   The biggest success story is Dominique who had his when he was 21 and bounced back.   Isiah, Ewing and Kobe  were pretty much already washed up when they had theirs.   Boogie was 27, but he just has had one catastrophic injury after another and it's hard to just isolate what impact the Achilles itself had.  I mean, it seems like Wes is the poster child of what a catastrophic  injury this is, but imho Wes was always just a high level role player and has stayed a role player for contending teams for another 5 years to this day.  Same for Rudy Gay, honestly.

Right so I think we are seeing now what modern rehab techniques look like with a sample of athletes that are hyper-athletic. Wall, KD & Powell were all very high on the athletic scale, even at the NBA level. While the injury is still catastrophic in the sense that it takes away 1-2 years of your career, it looks like it's not necessarily one that will dramatically reduce one's athletic ability in certain cases.

We have been influences by Matthews, who was not a premier athlete and thus never really recovered. He is a productive NBA player but his defense is terrible and overrated. He has no burst or lift since his injury. JJB's age when he had the injury basically ended his career which might have been extended a year or two longer absent the injury.

Boogie obviously was athletic but also a huge body and looked really slow when he came back (albeit effective on offense). I haven't seen him yet this year, I am curious to see how he looks now. Similar to Wall he had an additional injury that took him out when he came back. Unlike Wall he carries a lot of weight which is a problem.

All that to say it's much more likely that Powell follows the path or a KD or Wall than Wes Matthews or JJB. I think 2021 he will look a lot more like Powell. In the mean time the biggest thing to watch for is re-injury.

On defense I think his lateral movement is fine for him, I just don't think he's a good defender pre or post injury. He does move his feet but lets guys turn the corner around him. He has never been a shot blocker altho I was happy to see him swat a shot last night. Powell is what he is, in my opinion he'd be better long-term off the bench but we might have to live with Powell as a starter for years to come.

When ppl post stats that say Powell is somehow a good defender or good team defender it makes me pull my hair out. Watching him now for years he is just not a good defender. Again he can move his feet and sort of close out on guys. You might be able to call Powell an average defender in the right situation. I just don't understand how anyone can watch him play and think he's a good defender.


RE: ROSTER TALK: Trade/FA Ideas (Mar 25 TDL?) + Salary Chart - BigDirk41 - 12-15-2020

I think it's too early to say for sure that Powell can't be effective this year, but I will say so far he's been disappointing. That could change or stay the same. Nobody knows for sure. The part I don't like is Powell doesn't deserve to start right now. I don't feel like if Powell was on the Lakers, Clips, Heat, Bucks or any top contender they would just throw a guy out there to be loyal to him. I think that's unfair to all the other players. Powell should be the 3rd string 5 right now imo and have to earn the right to move up.

Powell is a great character guy and super intelligent. He's great in the locker room it seems. In the end, the NBA is a results driven business. I personally don't see how Powell can play beside KP when he returns. KP was a completely different player once DP went out. Maxi is clearly the better player of him and DP. Honestly I prefer WCS over DP in the small sample size we've seen so far. I just wish Rick was making DP earn the right to start instead of just handing it to him from the start. I know some will say Rick has his reasons and I'm sure he does. If Rick's plan it to play DP at the 5 until KP returns and then make DP the 3rd string #5 I could understand that to keep his rotations the same. If the plan is for DP to start the whole season, I just simply disagree with that. Personally I feel like DP is the only odd fit right now because he can't shoot. If he could shoot like Maxi, his injury wouldn't be as hindering. Sorry for the long post. I just have my concerns about DP right now and I don't think it's fair to the other guys for him to start right now. A team shouldn't have to overcome a player when it's unnecessary.


RE: ROSTER TALK: Trade/FA Ideas (Mar 25 TDL?) + Salary Chart - KillerLeft - 12-15-2020

(12-15-2020, 12:30 PM)DanSchwartzman Wrote: We should all be routing for WCS to take the Johnson minutes relegating Johnson to Boban status.


I get the points made after the quoted text about the financial/contractual advantages to not needing Johnson, but...don't you think you might be pigeon holing him a bit too quickly? 

I can see him possibly being the best answer on the roster to guys like Lebron, Davis, Kawhi, and others. 

It's not nearly a big enough sample size yet, and I agree that where he best fits into the rotation isn't immediately clear, but, idk...I'm kind of excited about him.


RE: ROSTER TALK: Trade/FA Ideas (Mar 25 TDL?) + Salary Chart - michaeltex - 12-15-2020

(12-15-2020, 12:07 PM)KillerLeft Wrote: My experience with fans who are very anti-Powell is that they don't fully understand how great he is at the niche he has carved out for himself. Probably because he makes it look so easy. 
Key point. He has a role and a function and he plays well within the boundaries of that role. Expect him to be something else and you have a right to expect less productivity. 


I agree that he probably isn't a starter on a lot of other teams, but his current function is an area RC doesn't have to worry about for 30 minutes a night.