Are we predicting the regular season record?

[mvossman]

50 wins, simply cause the West is stupid deep. If you get Utah at the start of the season like the Mavs, when they are not tanking, there is only one definite bad team in Portland. Close to 30 years since MJ and the East is still sh*t. And I bet somehow Flagg will land in Portland.

Don't we say this every year?  We got 50 wins last year, and that is with tanking the last two games.  From last opening season to this we have replaced Grant Williams, Richaun Holmes, Timmy Hardaway, Derrick Jones Jr, Josh Green, Seth Curry with PJ Washington, Daniel Gafford, Klay Thompson, Naji Marshal, Quinten Grimes and Dinwiddie.  That is a crazy talent/fit upgrade across the board.  Add in Lively upgrade from rookie to second year and the fact that Mavs had plenty of injury issues last season, and its not hard to see a record improvement to the mid 50s.

[The Jom]

60 wins, baby! Why not? Denver and Minny took backwards steps. Clips fell off a cliff. Phoenix fizzled. Sacto is doneto. The Lakers are fakers. And Golden State is out of date. Making the west only 2 teams deep. Mavs, Thunder, Celts, Bucks. And probably not the Bucks. That’s who I’d call contenders.

[Smitty]

The Mavs opened at 50.5 O/U win total in Vegas and are now sitting at 49.5 O/U on most books, some even have 48.5. We can expect Luka to miss ~15 games and Kyrie 20+. The West is even deeper this year and Kidd just doesn't care about the regular season. Give me 49-33 which will somehow be good enough for the #4 seed.

[fifteenth]

I've been meaning to do this for the last 2 weeks but work has been literal crazy. 

Sorry boys.

I'll add to the thread and say the Mavs go 56-26

Dude. You sir, owe not apologies!

Seems like Kidd prioritizes growth over wins and forces the team to endure and figure things out rather than fixing everything for them. Also, there are the nagging Luka injuries.

I'll say 53 wins and a 4th seed.

[BobyM]

53-29, 2nd seed.

[Ghost of Podkolzin]

54 wins, 3rd seed in West

[Scott41theMavs]

51 wins is pessimistic.

Thank you.

[rocky164]

54-28 top 4 seed. Could win more if Kidd wanted too but he’ll experiment and cost us some wins

[LukaMVP]

a 50+ win record will most likely grant us a top four seed considering the overall competitiveness of the west. we have a well built roster now and chemistry is what this team needs to work on, so we probably won't see any major moves until next summer at least. with the current roster and better chemistry we'll have another decent shot at the trophy this season imho.

[omahen]

54-28 top 4 seed. Could win more if Kidd wanted too but he’ll experiment and cost us some wins

I don't think we will see so much experimenting as long as players will be reasonably healthy. I think roles are already defined and the changes we will see will be mostly in amount of minutes for bench players, based on who will be earning minutes playing well. I think four spots in the starting line-up are set and there will be no experimenting there. The fifth one is the center position where we will likely see some changes between Gafford and Lively which won't have much of an impact. They will play 48 minutes combined on the position.

Last season, especially before TDL trades, there were so many open questions. Who among Exum, DJJ, Green or THJ do you start at wing next to Luka and Kai? Who is the starting centre? Should we play with a rim running center or five out with Maxi? Who is the bench PF? Is Maxi a center or a PF coming from a bench, considering your other center option is Powell?

[Knutsen]

Can we integrate a little side-prediction here for the number of threes Klay Thompson will hit this season, now that we‘re one game and 6 threes in?

Games played is a huge factor here of course and we don‘t know if him and Kyrie will play back-to-backs regularly. I say he‘ll break Luka’s franchise record of 284 with ease, averages 5 a game but plays only in around 70 games and therefore ends with 350 threes. So Steph Curry keeps his alltime record of 402 a season, also I hope to be wrong in that case of course.

For the main prediction I‘ll go with a 55-27 record, mainly because Kyrie and Luka will miss their share of games again and we‘re all about the playoffs.

Edit: Just saw almost everybody on the first page goes with 55-27, so I‘ll raise the bar to 57-25.

[SleepingHero]

Can me integrate a little side-prediction here for the number of threes Klay Thompson will hit this season, now that we‘re one game and 6 threes in?

Games played is a huge factor here of course and we don‘t know if him and Kyrie will play back-to-backs regularly. I say he‘ll break Luka’s franchise record of 284 with ease, averages 5 a game but plays only in around 70 games and therefore ends with 350 threes. So Steph Curry keeps his alltime record of 402 a season, also I hope to be wrong in that case of course.

For the main prediction I‘ll go with a 55-27 record, mainly because Kyrie and Luka will miss their share of games again and we‘re all about the playoffs.

I like this idea a lot. 

It's an interesting question because last year he had 268 made threes, and the year before that 301. Hmmm... For no reason other than just vibes, I'm going to say Klay will get 276 threes this season.

[LukaMVP]

I guess Klay will have a career high 3pt % here with the massive open looks luka and Kyrie create for him that he could never expect to have in golden State. curry and Durant ain't nearly as good play makers as luka imho.

[Knutsen]

I guess Klay will have a career high 3pt % here with the massive open looks luka and Kyrie create for him that he could never expect to have in golden State. curry and Durant ain't nearly as good play makers as luka imho.

We need total numbers - put down your estimates, guys! Now we‘re two games in and at 11 threes, I‘d say we close the window after game 3…

[ballsrchr]

Along with my 50 wins, 32 losses...I'll give Clay 263 threes.

[ThisIStheYear]

Anything less than 55 wins and a #2 seed would be underachieving at this point in Luka’s career.