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Playoff Series Imponderables - Printable Version +- MavsBoard (https://www.mavsboard.com) +-- Forum: Boards (https://www.mavsboard.com/forumdisplay.php?fid=1) +--- Forum: Dallas Mavericks and the NBA (https://www.mavsboard.com/forumdisplay.php?fid=2) +--- Thread: Playoff Series Imponderables (/showthread.php?tid=1038) |
RE: Playoff Series Imponderables - mavsluvr - 06-12-2021 (06-11-2021, 01:19 PM)KillerLeft Wrote: I agree with this, but I ALSO think there's an unpredictable human element to all of this that we just can't make sense of, no matter how hard we try.Your analysis could also apply to KP. Do you see that situation the same way? RE: Playoff Series Imponderables - mavsluvr - 06-12-2021 (06-11-2021, 01:44 PM)Kammrath Wrote: Re: Josh Richardson and whether he opts inUntil recently, I thought that Josh would probably not opt in, and that there would be a reasonable level of demand for him around the league if the Mavs wanted to pass. Now, I'm not so sure. RE: Playoff Series Imponderables - DanSchwartzgan - 06-12-2021 (06-12-2021, 03:49 PM)mavsluvr Wrote: Until recently, I thought that Josh would probably not opt in, and that there would be a reasonable level of demand for him around the league if the Mavs wanted to pass. Now, I'm not so sure. I was pretty convinced until rather late in the season that he'd be able to get a 3 year MLE somewhere and would easily give up $2mm in 2021 to guarantee the additional $18mm. Now, we need to figure out what, if any, team has a need for 1. an expiring JRich, 2. a need to make Bill Duffy happy, 3. has someone more highly paid than JRich that we might find useful, or 4. has a FA that they would rather not pay and would take some combo or players back that includes JRich. RE: Playoff Series Imponderables - StepBackJay - 06-12-2021 I think there will be a team that wants him on a 1 yr so I am actually not to worried about it. We thought Delon Wright was total garbage and Detroit actually wanted him with 2 years left on his deal. J Rich with the skins he has being a starter, still relatively young will have a taker. There just aren't enough good players and the expiring nature will help. RE: Playoff Series Imponderables - Branduil - 06-13-2021 (06-12-2021, 07:06 PM)StepBackJay Wrote: I think there will be a team that wants him on a 1 yr so I am actually not to worried about it. We thought Delon Wright was total garbage and Detroit actually wanted him with 2 years left on his deal.I think the worst case would be dumping him on a team that needs to hit the salary floor. RE: Playoff Series Imponderables - DanSchwartzgan - 06-13-2021 (06-12-2021, 07:06 PM)StepBackJay Wrote: I think there will be a team that wants him on a 1 yr so I am actually not to worried about it. We thought Delon Wright was total garbage and Detroit actually wanted him with 2 years left on his deal. I think the better way to do this is find a direct exchange. Yeah, we can pay a third team to be involved, but that will cost us something and make a deal more convoluted. If the plan is to operate over the cap (and keep THJ and use the MLE), then we need the team the currently has the guy we want to also want JRich. If we want to use cap room (and not keep THJ and not have the full MLE), then that is a different story. RE: Playoff Series Imponderables - mavsluvr - 06-13-2021 (06-11-2021, 08:21 PM)Dahlsim Wrote: Agree, as an issue there's no denying it. On that point I've always thought the style of play is a factor that is not often mentioned. The other factor often not considered is who the BIG played with on the front line which determines a lot about the role he has to play on the floor.Very interesting points. The ultra-tall stats regarding lack of durability actually referred to players taller than 7'1," but it seems that comparisons to seven-footers might still be apt. Also makes sense that playing style and playing patterns could affect longevity in big guys. RE: Playoff Series Imponderables - mavsluvr - 06-13-2021 (06-11-2021, 09:38 PM)Dahlsim Wrote: Can't agree at all with singling out Boban & WCS as part of a turn south.Thanks for compiling these stats. Very thought-provoking! RE: Playoff Series Imponderables - Dahlsim - 06-14-2021 (06-13-2021, 03:23 PM)mavsluvr Wrote: Very interesting points. The ultra-tall stats regarding lack of durability actually referred to players taller than 7'1," but it seems that comparisons to seven-footers might still be apt. Also makes sense that playing style and playing patterns could affect longevity in big guys. I don't doubt that the Ultra tallness creates longevity concerns, wear and tear on the feet, bones, ligaments and just additional stress. I think its one factor though, not the entire picture. Obviously there is the weight and body structure but alsl the pure number of times a player is jumping, and the style of play in terms of the type of jumping, height etc. has to be relevant to the impact and total stress measurable over time on the areas that are known to cause problems in the big men. Not sure if there is a big line to be drawn between the 7 footer-ish big man and 7'1" + Big but there are clearly other factors in terms of injury and durability. As I said Shaq went 19 years but yet Greg Oden, "just" a 7 footer didn't lasted barely a 100 games over the course of less than 6 years. You have to also look at the player himself and how he cares for his body. Tim Duncan & Dirk had awesome longevity but Andrew Bynum came in strong only to flame out early, sticking around a few extra seasons stealing paychecks. He was evidently not exactly one to help his body out with his lifestyle. The style of play is huge, the demands of the team based on who the player plays with is huge alongside obvious work ethic and diet. For that matter even Luka's longevity and risk worries me the way the Mavs are using him without enough star help to cary the load. ![]() Boban is interesting to me because he barely jumps to get a rebound, shoot or even dunk! The impact there is much less than some other smaller big men. Porzingis on the other hand, at his height playing like a high flying small forward, or banging high minutes, jumping high (and landing), because he can, to block every shot and get every rebound at 5 against NBA strong men, yeah, he would worry me in some ways more than Marjanovic. Adjustments to his style of play could help reduce his risk I think. If KP can be a real sharpshooter, those player can extend their careers at any size. RE: Playoff Series Imponderables - Dahlsim - 06-14-2021 (06-13-2021, 03:31 PM)mavsluvr Wrote: Thanks for compiling these stats. Very thought-provoking! Another way to look at those +/- stats is that Ty Lue and the Clippers emphasizing their best small team, not necessarily their smallest small team, allowed to essentially take Mavs #2 & #3 offensive players, THJ and Brunson, effectively out of the series. The Clippers ended up playing relatively big skilled wings changing the dynamic from games 1 & 2 in LA. Brunson had sort of become the #3 and times even #2 behind Luka with THJ most often putting up a big game offensively. TJH I noticed stopped getting as many good looks from 3 and started taking tougher or longer 3's or trying to score inside the arc where he's meh, not at all elite. Its a case of small ball is fine as long as my small ball team is better than your small team. Man for man the Mavs were most decidedly not better small vs small so Carlisle rightly went Big vs small. Arguably the +/- suggest that he might have come closer to winning the series, esp. in Game 6 if he had really committed even more to that strategy in terms of both minutes and offensive distribution. |