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Playoff Series Imponderables - Printable Version +- MavsBoard (https://www.mavsboard.com) +-- Forum: Boards (https://www.mavsboard.com/forumdisplay.php?fid=1) +--- Forum: Dallas Mavericks and the NBA (https://www.mavsboard.com/forumdisplay.php?fid=2) +--- Thread: Playoff Series Imponderables (/showthread.php?tid=1038) |
RE: Playoff Series Imponderables - KillerLeft - 06-10-2021 (06-10-2021, 09:55 PM)Kammrath Wrote: I think JB will get MORE effective in the regular season with an increased role (to an extent), but in the elite speed and intensity of playoff basksetball he looked like he didn't have the physical tools to be on the court. I am not trying to "shock"....but I personally WAS shocked at how out of place he looked. Wasn't expecting it. ![]() RE: Playoff Series Imponderables - mavsluvr - 06-11-2021 (06-10-2021, 07:31 PM)vfromlmf Wrote: What's crazy and a bit counterintuitive is the Mavs forced the Clippers to go small but that had the unfortunate side effect of rendering many of Dallas' best players unplayable too.I like this line of thinking -- addressing the domino effect of various primary adjustments, resulting in numerous players becoming unplayable/losing minutes, and others needing to play more and/or in different roles than was considered desirable at the outset. And ultimately turning into a systemic collapse. (06-10-2021, 09:19 PM)Kammrath Wrote: I think Luka has three major issues: Thanks for this and your other ideas. Will respond in the next couple days. RE: Playoff Series Imponderables - vfromlmf - 06-11-2021 (06-11-2021, 12:31 AM)mavsluvr Wrote: the domino effect of various primary adjustments, resulting in numerous players becoming unplayable/losing minutes, and others needing to play more and/or in different roles than was considered desirable at the outset. And ultimately turning into a systemic collapse. I think this is basically the story of the series. The Clippers won 4 of the last five games and the Mavs house of cards came crashing down once Lue figured out how to attack Dallas by going small. I oversimplified by pointing directly at KP's inability to defend the paint as the turning point. That was certainly a problem but it may not have been lethal if the Mavs' perimeter defenders did a better job of keeping the Clips out of the paint to begin with. The Mavs overall defense just wasn't good enough ... but let's not forget, the series went to 7 games and the Mavs certainly could've won, despite the talent gap. Lets call Kawhi and Luka a wash Reggie Jackson and THJ were pretty close Batum and DFS were pretty close Morris fairly well matched what the Mavs got from KP Unfortunately, things turn south when you realize the Mavs were playing Boban & WCS big minutes and we still haven't discussed the Clippers second best player: Paul George. So in the end, a bunch of people on this board are going to call for the Mavs to trade everyone and rebuild the whole thing this this summer. It's tempting. But you can also make the case that they're really only 1-2 players away. Help Wanted: a center who can defend the paint and a good 2nd fiddle guard/forward RE: Playoff Series Imponderables - ItsGoTime - 06-11-2021 (06-11-2021, 01:51 AM)vfromlmf Wrote: So in the end, a bunch of people on this board are going to call for the Mavs to trade everyone and rebuild the whole thing this this summer. It's tempting. But you can also make the case that they're really only 1-2 players away.I think the reason we basically need to tear it down is because we won’t have the money in FA to get the 2 things you’re asking for without trades for those pieces, then you have to fill the holes left from the pieces you traded. A different domino effect. RE: Playoff Series Imponderables - mavsluvr - 06-11-2021 (06-10-2021, 07:28 PM)Dahlsim Wrote: 1) Luka's body clearly has room for improvement. He's a long way from the "cut" he could achieve and that's something very achievable for he and the coaches.Totally agree that Luka did not have sufficient help. And that he was a solution, not a problem. However, any player, no matter how great, has room for improvement. In Luka's case, I think he could play big minutes more comfortably if he were in tiptop shape. As you point out, that should be a doable objective if he wants to commit to it. RE: Playoff Series Imponderables - mavsluvr - 06-11-2021 (06-10-2021, 09:19 PM)Kammrath Wrote: I think Luka has three major issues: RE: Playoff Series Imponderables - mavsluvr - 06-11-2021 (06-10-2021, 07:28 PM)Dahlsim Wrote: Hard to say here but my 2 cents is that Carlisle and Kristaps have to settle on a role that best maximizes his advantages. Is being Ultra tall and athletic with skill still an advantage in the NBA? I think it can be.Agree that KP is the biggest conundrum on the roster. I have come to think that the Mavs have reached the point where they will consider trading him, although I don't think they will give him up for peanuts. RE: Playoff Series Imponderables - mavsluvr - 06-11-2021 (06-10-2021, 09:24 PM)Kammrath Wrote: I think these are the issues with KP:I tend to think the physical issues may be driving some of the head and heart issues, but at this point, that amounts to little more than quibbling. Whether KP can't do what is necessary, won't do it, or some combination, the fact remains that he isn't performing at the expected levels, however much Rick and Cuban publicly deny it. If it's primarily a head and heart issue, then that is at least theoretically fixable, if the Mavs want to go for it and KP is willing. I am more worried that he has already entered a physical decline, despite being only 25. If he will have to miss a lot of games going forward, and will be hobbled in the games he can play, then his usefulness relative to expectations will be greatly diminished. But even if the problem is "just" psychological, KP would have to want to resolve it in a direction acceptable to the Mavs, and whether that is likely remains TBD, as far as we know. You may be right that the situation is past the point of no return. RE: Playoff Series Imponderables - mavsluvr - 06-11-2021 (06-10-2021, 07:28 PM)Dahlsim Wrote: Don't know about the injuries. It may just be that JR is at best an above replacement level wing, which may not be bad in your rotation at all IF the stars are there. In Miami he looked like maybe he might be more. In Philly he had stars to play off and he looked solid, not really great. That may be where he lands. solid, not great but a lot better if you have your 1st 2nd and 3rd options in performing.It seems that the Mavs envision a certain type of player partnering with Luka in the back court, and I think they were hoping that J Rich would fill that role. But he clearly hasn't. Maybe he had lingering COVID issues. Or maybe he's just not that good. Agree that he would probably look better alongside three great players. It wouldn't surprise me if the Mavs decide to move on, one way or another. If they keep him, it's not clear to me that he can be a regular starter, but, as always, I hope for the best. RE: Playoff Series Imponderables - mavsluvr - 06-11-2021 (06-10-2021, 09:26 PM)Kammrath Wrote: I do not think JR "fell off" one bit this year. I think RC's usage of him "fell off" (thank God!) but I think JR was the weakest link on this team for the whole year (even more than KP). RE: Playoff Series Imponderables - mavsluvr - 06-11-2021 (06-10-2021, 07:28 PM)Dahlsim Wrote: Kleber having a tough year, from Covid on top of whatever else is undisclosed had a huge impact on the Mavs season coming up short of some expectations and on Luka having too much load.The Mavs may have over-relied on Maxi to an extent, in the sense of counting on him to do a job that may have been a little too much for him, and that came back to bite them in the playoffs. Or, maybe it was just an unfortunate season of one thing after another going wrong. We know the Achilles soreness was still an issue. I think the Mavs really like Maxi, who has been the essence of a good soldier, but it wouldn't shock me to see him moved on or changed to a bench role after all is said and done, especially if they decide to beef up the front court. RE: Playoff Series Imponderables - Kammrath - 06-11-2021 (06-11-2021, 12:49 PM)mavsluvr Wrote: If he is indeed just not very good, and that is not related to injury or illness, it would seem to indicate a substantial talent mis-evaluation by the front office. Is that what you believe occurred? I think the Mavs wanted three things in the JR trade: 1) An expiring contract to have cap room for this summer. 2) The asset of #36 and what became TBey. 3) A chance to see if JR could have the impact he had in his last year in MIA. I think his last year in MIA has been shown to be an outlier. I think Spoelstra (one of the very best coaches in the league IMO) was able to get more out of JR than RC was. I also think that JR just massively overperformed that year and he is just regressing to the mean. RE: Playoff Series Imponderables - ItsGoTime - 06-11-2021 (06-11-2021, 12:19 PM)mavsluvr Wrote: I am more worried that he has already entered a physical decline, despite being only 25.I don’t see how we could possibly know that in any way right now. Are you talking about a bone/ligament deterioration, or a muscle type one? JJJ is a pretty solid gauge on this to me. Seeing him come back months after KP did, not sure why the bigger tendency isn’t to point to that. Rather than believing something we couldn’t possibly know, I put my faith in the most likely scenario, he came back too soon and needs time to weight and basketball train. I think he comes back to begin the season showing us bubble KP and minus major injury, starts to peter out toward the middle/end of the season unless we load manage him like Kawhi. If that actually takes place, I think the phones ring for him again. The defense is a strength and conditioning thing mostly because he’s done well with it before. He can improve on it as well as his exit interview suggested he would. Strength and conditioning will help with his shot and stamina as well. The head stuff...that’ll subside with winning. RE: Playoff Series Imponderables - mavsluvr - 06-11-2021 (06-10-2021, 09:37 PM)Kammrath Wrote: Maxi was really poor most of the year. I don't know if he never recovered from COVID or if he just suddenly went "over the hill" in basketball years. He was REALLY disappointing as a defender this year and his O impact really slipped as well. I fear the Mavs might have missed their chance to "sell high" on him and that he will never really be a positive key rotation piece again. But maybe an offseason will get him back in stride. Carlisle referenced the fact that he had the most serious case of all the COVID guys, and it took him longer to recover. And then, it was just one injury after another the rest of the season -- not necessarily bad enough to prevent him from playing, but enough to limit his mobility and explosion. Maybe he can get back to pre-season shape, and that should help. But I suspect he may have reached his ceiling as a player. He is 29 years old, and big leaps in development are not common at that age. If this is the case, I seriously question whether this level is good enough for him to be as heavily relied on as he is. I do think he is a good culture guy, but that goes only so far. RE: Playoff Series Imponderables - mavsluvr - 06-11-2021 (06-11-2021, 01:02 PM)Kammrath Wrote: I think the Mavs wanted three things in the JR trade: RE: Playoff Series Imponderables - KillerLeft - 06-11-2021 (06-11-2021, 01:02 PM)Kammrath Wrote: I think his last year in MIA has been shown to be an outlier. I think Spoelstra (one of the very best coaches in the league IMO) was able to get more out of JR than RC was. I also think that JR just massively overperformed that year and he is just regressing to the mean. I agree with this, but I ALSO think there's an unpredictable human element to all of this that we just can't make sense of, no matter how hard we try. Maybe there's something in Richardson that just changed forever when Miami traded him. Sometimes, people just fall out of love with doing stuff they're really into and stop going so hard. Stuff like that happens around us all the time in real life. It has probably happened TO all of us, at some point. At the end of the day, all that matters is that the Richardson Dallas had this season is not a player who can help them in the way they need. RE: Playoff Series Imponderables - mavsluvr - 06-11-2021 (06-10-2021, 07:28 PM)Dahlsim Wrote: Brunson has been good, really good imo for all that could be expected. Yeah he's not your star. He's small so he needs some protection out there from bigs. The Clips were definitely a tough matchup with their big athletic wing version of 'small ball' still being too big unless the other positions and provide cover for Jalen.I like Brunson, and have admired the leaps he has taken in his career with the Mavs. And he may still have room to improve. I don't tend to agree with the contingent that thinks Brunson should be promoted to a regular starter, while acknowledging that it might work in some games. The fact that a guy is a great backup does not, as you point out, necessarily mean he will be a great starter. My area of concern with the playoffs is that he maybe can't even be a decent backup in that environment. Someone needs to be able to lead a Luka-less unit that does not get destroyed within a few minutes, and in this series, he wasn't able to manage that. Maybe this was just a particularly bad matchup for him. But, unfair as it may seem, size is a limiting factor in the NBA, as well as skill level. I am not advocating giving up on Jalen. But if his goal is to be an NBA starter, I'm not sure this is the right place. And I question whether he will be able to be relied on for much in the postseasons. You may well be right that better support around him would make a huge difference. RE: Playoff Series Imponderables - mavsluvr - 06-11-2021 (06-10-2021, 09:38 PM)Kammrath Wrote: I think Brunson hit his NBA ceiling really quickly and is basically already there. I think his lack of length and explosion have us looking at the best he will be. I hope I am wrong, but after this series I am not looking at him as a top playoff rotation guy. I don't know if he has hit his ceiling, but I do fear that further improvements that he might make may not serve to materially increase his usefulness in a playoff environment. I guess time will tell. RE: Playoff Series Imponderables - Kammrath - 06-11-2021 (06-11-2021, 01:18 PM)mavsluvr Wrote: Do you think he will opt in, frustrating this objective? I do not. He skipped exit interviews, right? To me that says he is LONG gone and cannot wait to be in another situation. I could see him opting in with the intention that the Mavs trade him somewhere that he and his agent like. RE: Playoff Series Imponderables - Kammrath - 06-11-2021 (06-11-2021, 01:18 PM)mavsluvr Wrote: they hyped him as an answer at the starting position, and not just as a guy they were taking a flyer on. I guess it's possible that was just PR, but I had the impression they were expecting more than they got. Yes they did. The Mavs always act like their new additions are the next greatest thing, so I assume it was hype. But maybe their scouting department REALLY thought that's what he was. RC sure TRIED, TRIED, TRIED to make it work. Way longer than I would have. |