![]() |
|
Trade & FA 2025-26: Free Agency Starts 5pm CST/6pm EST - Printable Version +- MavsBoard (https://www.mavsboard.com) +-- Forum: Boards (https://www.mavsboard.com/forumdisplay.php?fid=1) +--- Forum: Dallas Mavericks and the NBA (https://www.mavsboard.com/forumdisplay.php?fid=2) +--- Thread: Trade & FA 2025-26: Free Agency Starts 5pm CST/6pm EST (/showthread.php?tid=3856) Pages:
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
76
77
78
79
80
81
82
83
84
85
86
87
88
89
90
91
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
100
101
102
103
104
105
106
107
108
109
110
111
112
113
114
115
116
117
118
119
120
121
122
123
124
125
126
127
128
129
130
131
132
133
134
135
136
137
138
139
140
141
142
143
144
145
146
147
148
149
150
151
152
153
154
155
156
157
158
159
160
161
162
163
164
165
166
167
168
169
170
171
172
173
174
175
176
177
178
179
180
181
182
183
184
185
186
187
188
189
190
191
192
193
194
195
196
197
198
199
200
201
202
203
204
205
206
207
208
209
210
211
212
213
214
215
216
217
218
219
220
221
|
RE: Trade & FA 2025-26: Free Agency Starts 5pm CST/6pm EST - F Gump - 01-14-2026 (Yesterday, 05:43 AM)soog Wrote: And because of this Rich Paul should be on the phone with Atl convincing them to put together an attractive offer for AD instead of pressuring Dal to trade him for peanuts I really don't think the Mavs are anywhere close to trading AD for a weak return. I know that the desire for that is high in this forum, and the mindset is that the Mavs have to just take what they can get (presumed to be close to nothing) and move on. I see many NBA fans and media saying the Mavs Brain Trust will HAVE TO take a pile of rando bodies because that's all anyone will pay. But I'm not getting that vibe at all that they are desperate to trade AD for whatever the market might be at this time. I think they expect a strong offer with plenty of value, and otherwise, they will keep AD and see what happens. I suspect they have also communicated to RP that the idea of an extension offer - and at what price point - is heavily tied to AD's future health and performance, linking their desire to offer him more with whether they are getting their money's worth for the last deal. If AD is indeed a top player, he will find a way to be better. RE: Trade & FA 2025-26: Free Agency Starts 5pm CST/6pm EST - meistermatze - 01-14-2026 (01-13-2026, 10:06 PM)windjc Wrote: Dallas wants expiring, picks and young talent. Plain and simple. It’s amazing that people on here can’t comprehend the truth that this is what they want and what they eventually will get. That's just wrong in my opinion. Davis’ value did tank because of his recent injury, and it was way already way lower than some people in your delusional camp want to admit. If I was wrong about this, Davis would have been traded already. If he had this perceived value, a player of his (theoretical) caliber should land you all of this in a second. Why is that not the case? Well, of course, because he’s a walking injury risk — which doesn’t just tank his value theoretically, but also practically puts TONS of pressure on the Mavs. Next time it could be his Achilles, and then you’re stuck with this guy while being over the second apron, which essentially cripples your flexibility moving forward. Yes — some team MIGHT be desperate or stupid enough to let Rich Paul (or themselves) talk them into a trade where the Mavs receive what they wish for. But is it realistic? No, for the reasons already given. We might get lucky, like the Lakers did with us having that moron Harrison calling the shots, but in a realistic scenario, we HAVE to ship AD out — even on a bad deal. RE: Trade & FA 2025-26: Free Agency Starts 5pm CST/6pm EST - Dirknows - 01-14-2026 (Yesterday, 06:17 AM)meistermatze Wrote: That's just wrong in my opinion. Davis wasn’t traded because multiple teams were interested, and it stands to reason the smartest thing to do in that scenario is wait til the deadline and see who has the best offer. RE: Trade & FA 2025-26: Free Agency Starts 5pm CST/6pm EST - Smitty - 01-14-2026 (01-10-2026, 09:19 AM)Smitty Wrote: As for a potential TDL deal still being possible, I think you’re probably correct that it’s not completely off the table. There’s a world where Davis elects to put off surgery, making his timeline for recovery around 6 weeks. The TDL is Feb 5th. The Hawks return from the ASB Feb 19th. Well, the 19th is exactly 6 weeks for AD’s recovery. So, if ATL makes a trade for Davis at the deadline, he will have only missed 3 games that he would have otherwise played in. Similar to when the Mavs traded for him initially. Far from a deal breaker, like you said. (Yesterday, 04:22 AM)F Gump Wrote: Factually, it's nowhere near the "long window" of missed games (for a team that trades for him) that it looks like at first glance, if the trade was navigated wisely. The 6 week window for a return from injury would have AD back shortly after the ASB. Yes, you've got your timeline correct. It's exactly what Rich Paul is telling other GM's as we speak. I think you missed Dan's point in this reply though. I think Dan was talking about the timing of the trade being executed, noting that a team would not make that trade today for instance, but instead wait all the way until the deadline, because said team will need the potential players in a Davis deal, to continue being competitive the next 3 weeks. To Dan's point, I did find it comical all the talk about the Hawks injury report last night. Like Dan, I think there's no way a team makes a trade RIGHT NOW, this week, or next week. It will most likely be the day of Thursday, February 5th. Which maximizes the timeline we laid out above. RE: Trade & FA 2025-26: Free Agency Starts 5pm CST/6pm EST - meistermatze - 01-14-2026 (Yesterday, 07:55 AM)Dirknows Wrote: Davis wasn’t traded because multiple teams were interested, and it stands to reason the smartest thing to do in that scenario is wait til the deadline and see who has the best offer. No. Not with a player who is injured all the time. Why do you act in as if this was not part of the whole equation for all parties involved? RE: Trade & FA 2025-26: Free Agency Starts 5pm CST/6pm EST - michaeltex - 01-14-2026 (01-13-2026, 07:50 PM)ThisIStheYear Wrote: So Windhorst is reporting that AD may be traded for expiring deals only. The Mavs may not have a choice if such a trade is possible. The payroll is just too high considering the team’s current prospects. That will close the books on the trade as Luka for Max, a first in the fairly distant future, and salary savings. Basically, Luka is going to be a salary dump. Nice work Mavs. FWIW, Luka's future salary was the driver for Nico's Folly. He was due for a Super Max extension that would have paid almost $70MM/year and did not appear (from the outside) to care enough to prioritize his health, his conditioning or the team who was paying him. Not a defense of the trade, just pointing out that there were salary cap implications and expectations tied to it. RE: Trade & FA 2025-26: Free Agency Starts 5pm CST/6pm EST - Nowitzki Way - 01-14-2026 (Yesterday, 08:08 AM)Smitty Wrote: To Dan's point, I did find it comical all the talk about the Hawks injury report last night. Like Dan, I think there's no way a team makes a trade RIGHT NOW, this week, or next week. It will most likely be the day of Thursday, February 5th. Which maximizes the timeline we laid out above. I think the only way a trade happens now is if we're adding more to the deal than Davis. I don't think they would give up OO right now, but any of the other rumored pieces are in play. And remember they just did a 2 for 1 deal where they received McCollum and Kispert for Trae. They have an extra piece already. I can see a scenario where the major pieces are Naji /AD for Risacher /KP / Kennard. Hopefully a pick in there somewhere. That deal could happen now and Atlanta doesn't lose on court production. Naji slides into the Risacher role. KP doesnt play anyway. Kennard is not a loss. Maybe we could convince them to take Hardy to replace some Kennard minutes. But they have Kispert for that. RE: Trade & FA 2025-26: Free Agency Starts 5pm CST/6pm EST - DallasMaverick - 01-14-2026 (Yesterday, 06:17 AM)meistermatze Wrote: Why is that not the case? Well, of course, because he’s a walking injury risk — which doesn’t just tank his value theoretically, but also practically puts TONS of pressure on the Mavs. Next time it could be his Achilles, and then you’re stuck with this guy while being over the second apron, which essentially cripples your flexibility moving forward. I think we should also trade Flagg for whatever we can get. He’s just one torn Achilles away from being completely worthless. Did you see how he turned his ankle the other night? It’s just a matter of time before his value tanks completely. RE: Trade & FA 2025-26: Free Agency Starts 5pm CST/6pm EST - Mavs2021 - 01-14-2026 (Yesterday, 07:55 AM)Dirknows Wrote: Davis wasn’t traded because multiple teams were interested, and it stands to reason the smartest thing to do in that scenario is wait til the deadline and see who has the best offer. Or the reason Rich Paul AND the Mavericks writers pushed the Atlanta angle so hard was that Atlanta is the only team that is even entertaining the absurd idea to extend AD right now. This idea that there are 30 teams lining up to extend AD is crazy. I´d take a bet half the league would not acquire him for expiring contacts with a full MLE extension promise. And of course there will be 6-7 interested teams that are willing to trade for AD, but they want to give you packages like Poeltl + Quickley, who are even more injured than AD and have even longer contracts. If I told you the Mavs can acquire an injury prone top 30 player on a two year contract or keep one (semi) retired player on a four year contract and a top 150ish player on a three year contract, I would pick AD, too. That´s a no brainer. Milwaukee will give you Kuzma and Portis. Yay. They can´t even be starters here, cause we have Flagg, Washington, Marshall and possibly another drafted forward. RE: Trade & FA 2025-26: Free Agency Starts 5pm CST/6pm EST - Smitty - 01-14-2026 (Yesterday, 02:17 AM)F Gump Wrote: My minimum price in working through negotiations is to start at: This is extreme in my opinion but I appreciate your insistence on presenting deals that meet the criteria for a top X player. I’m not saying you’re wrong, just that I can’t get there with you. I think I could get there, that something like this is what it could take for Dumont to sign off on a Davis trade. I think all of us are at different levels with our minimum requirements in a AD trade return. Ultimately, it doesn’t matter what we think. The MacMahon piece that I posted yesterday reads like it came straight from Dumont. I believe that Dumont believes what he’s saying. These 3 weeks will give us plenty to talk about at least, because the on-court product surely won’t. RE: Trade & FA 2025-26: Free Agency Starts 5pm CST/6pm EST - F Gump - 01-14-2026 (Yesterday, 06:17 AM)meistermatze Wrote: That's just wrong in my opinion. Obviously no team has yet offered the Mavs what they want for AD - otherwise, he would already have been traded. But that doesn't mean they won't in the future. And we have no way to know how far apart they were from a deal already being done. In negotiations, all the claims of disinterest are suspect -- "In deal-making times, buyers are liars." Where I differ from a lot of people here (probably you are in that group) is that I don't think the Mavs are especially worried (or desperate) to trade AD soon. At all. I think they have a price they think he's worth (which is held close to the vest, but they know what it is), I don't think it's especially low, and I don't think they will let him go unless a team comes with an offer that beats it. If you don't think they will get that offer (and you certainly could be right), I don't think they will much care, frankly, and they will go in a different direction without batting an eye. I also suspect they have other irons in the fire, and we might see a different move besides a trade of AD, around the TDL. For now, I figure they aren't likely to mess with their trade flexibility for moving AD, but once that outcome is determined, they may do something else instead (or too). Is there a very good possibility AD is still a Mav after the TDL? Could be. But I don't think that scares them. As for me - I think a great pick in this draft is really vital. To me, that's the move they need to prioritize. If they have AD next season, OR have the equivalent thereof (via trade), to me that's okay either way. RE: Trade & FA 2025-26: Free Agency Starts 5pm CST/6pm EST - Smitty - 01-14-2026 (Yesterday, 09:54 AM)Nowitzki Way Wrote: I think the only way a trade happens now is if we're adding more to the deal than Davis. I don't think they would give up OO right now, but any of the other rumored pieces are in play. And remember they just did a 2 for 1 deal where they received McCollum and Kispert for Trae. They have an extra piece already. I agree! I went through this mental exercise yesterday and came to a similar conclusion. In my hypothetical I liked the outcome. I think I referred to it as putting all your assets in one basket, doing a full reset. We’ve heard that ATL has some level of interest in Gafford also. We’ve seen a report about their concerns with OO. Substituting Naji, who right now today is probably better, into the ZR role, could help them with their push to be a contender in the East sooner. Which, is what you’re calling yourself if you’re making an AD trade. RE: Trade & FA 2025-26: Free Agency Starts 5pm CST/6pm EST - DanSchwartzgan - 01-14-2026 (Yesterday, 08:08 AM)Smitty Wrote: Yes, you've got your timeline correct. It's exactly what Rich Paul is telling other GM's as we speak. I think you missed Dan's point in this reply though. I think Dan was talking about the timing of the trade being executed, noting that a team would not make that trade today for instance, but instead wait all the way until the deadline, because said team will need the potential players in a Davis deal, to continue being competitive the next 3 weeks. I took it that he agreed and was expanding on the point with more specifics. I think there might be a couple of exceptions from what I wrote after waking in the middle of the night. One is Kuminga related and unlikely. But, today is the first day GSW can move on from him. IF AD is somehow involved, GSW might be able to pull that off today depending on what happens with Green and whether they prioritize moving Kuminga quickly or having Green for two more weeks. I think Nowitzki Way identified the other one...something that doesn't involve a center and replaces the outgoing with something else. Adding Naji to replace ZR is an interesting construct that probably adds to the draft capital coming back. If this is done with Kennard instead of OO, then yes, it could be done any time. But, as FG has pointed out, including OO instead of Kennard is more likely to keep ATL out of the tax (especially if Naji is outgoing in the deal). It is a shame that Shams got it wrong with his first post. It confirmed our fears that all is lost until the summer with AD. AD knew better and said so and Shams changed his position. Clearly a team that really wants AD can see beyond six weeks. A trade for Davis is about more than just the rest of this season. I find it interesting that Paul's press releases (through his mouthpieces) now seem to be less from a Mav's POV. He's actually the one who seems more 'desperate' to get something done. Dallas and Atlanta seem to be in the mode of trying to sway public opinion and pressure the other side. "We don't have to make a bad deal...we can wait"...versus..."we aren't giving up X no matter what". Those hard stances always soften when a deal is made and both sides find a compromise they can sell to their fans. I like NW's version where Naji (more valuable to a playoff run now) replaces ZR in ATL. I'm not ready to go where FG is demanding OO, ZR AND the NO Pick. I think the inclusion of Naji might be needed to get you OO. I've never thought there was a snowball's chance of getting the NO Pick. The "win" for Atlanta will be getting Naji and not having to give up that pick. The "win" for Dallas will be getting a young-ish center replacement in OO who was previously off the table (which might open the door for a Gafford deal that adds even more to the youth movement). One note regarding pressure on the Mav's. I think this most recent AD injury may have solved the tension of the AD conundrum. We now have every right to shut him down for the rest of the season (and RP knows this). Whereas, if he hadn't of gotten injured, we might have won a few more games between now and the TDL as we would have been forced to showcase him. Dallas still needs to trade him for financial reasons, but the pressure of AD ruining the tank is no longer there. It doesn't appear the ligament injury will dramatically lower his value from whatever that value is/was. So, now we get the fun of posting the same ideas over and over again until 2/5 and the joy of people telling us how smart they are that their genius predictions have somehow been validated (even before anything happens). RE: Trade & FA 2025-26: Free Agency Starts 5pm CST/6pm EST - mvossman - 01-14-2026 (Yesterday, 10:06 AM)F Gump Wrote: Obviously no team has yet offered the Mavs what they want for AD - otherwise, he would already have been traded. But that doesn't mean they won't in the future. And we have no way to know how far apart they were from a deal already being done. In negotiations, all the claims of disinterest are suspect -- "In deal-making times, buyers are liars." I'm not sure folks think that the Mavs are desperate to move AD. I do think a lot of folks disagree with your assessment of AD market. I assume you saw that clip of Stein talking about his market value? Do you think Stein is completely clueless? Its nowhere in the ballpark of what you are asking for. I realize you want to get maximum value for AD, but this can be taken too far. We have watched Ainge ask for too high prices, wait too long and get lower return on players than if he would have been reasonable to begin with. I don't want to sell low on AD (which is probably what we would be doing if we trade him at the TDL) but I also don't want to ride a disgruntled AD with all of his injury drama for the rest of this contract and get nothing for him either. RE: Trade & FA 2025-26: Free Agency Starts 5pm CST/6pm EST - Chicagojk - 01-14-2026 https://x.com/KevinGraySports/status/2011461555926262075 RE: Trade & FA 2025-26: Free Agency Starts 5pm CST/6pm EST - Mavs2021 - 01-14-2026 I really liked the Discord trade with Charlotte for multiple reasons. 1. We get our 2027 pick back, since the draft is perceived weak it´s easier to trade for Charlotte. 2. Most of the players expire after next season. 3. Charlotte can also sit AD out and tank out this year. 4. Unlike Mavs the Hornets never win anything and they actually have a functioning young core that could make a leap with AD at C. 5. MJ might slap AD and this one actually deserves it. AD + Exum for Williams + Green + Sexton + Mavs 2027 1st. Klay + Hardy for Kuminga Gafford for Kennard + Cavs pick Marshall + DAR for Conley + Beringer New Mavs team for next year Irving/Sexton (re-sign MLE-ish)/Nembhard Christie/Green/FA (minimum) Flagg/Kuminga/Martin Washington/Williams/Mavs pick Lively/Beringer/Cavs pick That´s actually a crazy turnaround and I think it´s all fairly realistic. Suddenly Kyrie and Martin are the only players over 28. This might still be a lotto team, but since you got your pick back you can just play it out. RE: Trade & FA 2025-26: Free Agency Starts 5pm CST/6pm EST - F Gump - 01-14-2026 (Yesterday, 09:54 AM)Nowitzki Way Wrote: I can see a scenario where the major pieces are Naji /AD for Risacher /KP / Kennard. Hopefully a pick in there somewhere. I don't think that gets off the ground as is, because it fits NEITHER team's basic need to avoid a deal-killer: ATL needs to end under the tax line, and DAL needs to have a trade of equal bodies (such as 2-for-2, 3-for-3). ATL has about 1.3M too much in salary after that trade. And ATL has already sent our MORE bodies than the Mavs can absorb. In general, I thinking adding Naji would be a mistake, because he provides some offense creation which they need, and he also offers some defense. And he plays hard, in a going-nowhere season. But going with it for now: to fix those issues, how about this tweak? KP-Risacher-Kennard AND KISPERT .... plus picks (with NO #1 the starting point in negotiations) FOR AD-Naji- AND HARDY, DAR RE: Trade & FA 2025-26: Free Agency Starts 5pm CST/6pm EST - Chicagojk - 01-14-2026 Giannis market will be fascinating this summer. I don't expect he signs the extension and trade talks ramp up. There is no out for MIL. They are stuck in the water. ESPN writers....Giannis sees himself with the Mavericks ![]() Quote:“I was definitely booing back,” Antetokounmpo said. “When I get booed, I boo back. I’ve been doing that all season. You guys haven’t been with me on the road. Whenever I get booed, I boo back.” Quote:“It does not matter,” Antetokounmpo said. “I play basketball for my teammates. I play basketball for myself and my family. When people don’t believe in me, I don’t tend to be with them. I tend to be against them. I tend to do what I’m here to do, what I’m good at. I think I’m like a maverick. I’ve always been that way, so it won’t change now. It doesn’t matter if I’m at home or away. But yeah, I’ve never been a part of something like that before and I don’t think it’s fair. I don’t.” Quote:“But everybody has their opinion to do what they want to do,” Antetokounmpo said. “I’m not gonna tell them what to do and how they should act when we don’t play hard or when we lose games, or when we’re not where we’re supposed to be. And I don’t think anybody has the right to tell me what or how I should act on the basketball court after I’ve been here 13 years and I’m basically the all-time leader in everything.” Quote:“Maybe my voice is just a broken record and guys are tired (of hearing it) and guys might tend to do what they want to do,” Antetokounmpo said. “I don’t know, but as a leader, it doesn’t matter. Being a leader is like the same thing as being a dad. You just gotta keep on being available, keep being consistent with your words and your actions over and over and over again and one day, you hope that the message is going to go through. RE: Trade & FA 2025-26: Free Agency Starts 5pm CST/6pm EST - msf4717 - 01-14-2026 (01-13-2026, 10:06 PM)windjc Wrote: Dallas wants expiring, picks and young talent. Plain and simple. It’s amazing that people on here can’t comprehend the truth that this is what they want and what they eventually will get. Everyone on the board knows and acknowledges this. This issue is whether the Mavs should or even can obtain the more valuable assets on this list, picks or young talent, versus merely trading AD for expiring contracts and air. I think the very real concern is that much of the return will solely be the latter. RE: Trade & FA 2025-26: Free Agency Starts 5pm CST/6pm EST - F Gump - 01-14-2026 (Yesterday, 10:55 AM)mvossman Wrote: I'm not sure folks think that the Mavs are desperate to move AD. I do think a lot of folks disagree with your assessment of AD market. I assume you saw that clip of Stein talking about his market value? Do you think Stein is completely clueless? Its nowhere in the ballpark of what you are asking for. Yes I saw what Stein said. I didn't take it as gospel (and still don't). It was wayyyyyyyyy out of the norm for Stein to say something like that - and go extreme "sky is falling" -- and because I think he's smarter than that, I don't really buy into what he said any more than all the trade talk extremes we've heard that DS noted. Why did he say what he did, and come at it that way? I have no idea. "Its nowhere in the ballpark of what you are asking for. I realize you want to get maximum value for AD, but this can be taken too far. We have watched Ainge ask for too high prices, wait too long and get lower return on players than if he would have been reasonable to begin with." -- I understand you. But you are working from the mindset that the Mavs are feeling (or need to feel) pressure (or even desperation) to move AD. And I don't think they are. So I think they are going to look for full value. They might be negotiable, if the deal otherwise gets close, and there are multiple ways they could compromise, assuming in general they get a strong offer. But they have to be chased, and they can't be the one chasing (to try to satisfy ATL's or someone else's fondest wishes) to ensure a deal happens. Chasing a deal, and making sure the other side gets whatever they demand, that's Nico-style negotiating (factually proven), and it gets you killed in the deal. |