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MAVS EMBARRASSED IN LOS ANGELES
REBOUNDING, DEFENSIVE WOES CONTINUE

Yow-ee. Talk about a lump of coal in our Christmas stocking. This much-hyped marquee game turned out to be a bit of a dud. 


Game Story

The Mavs got out to a decent start, and pretty much managed to hold their own in the first twelve minutes, ending the quarter down 30-33. However, things started to go downhill in the back half of the second quarter, and the deficit increased to 12 at the break, with the Mavs heading into the locker room trailing 57-69. A terrible start to the third period led to a Carlisle timeout within the first minute. The Mavs managed to almost hold their own in scoring, but had trouble getting stops, and the scoreline read 85-99 going into the fourth. 

An unusual lineup of Brunson/Richardson/Hardaway/Johnson/Bobi allowed the deficit to swell to 17 within the first minute, drawing another early timeout. The group then managed to get the margin down to ten, but it was back to 14 when Rick put Luka, Doe-Doe and Burke in. Powell was eventually subbed in for Bobi, but the Mavericks had just run out of juice. Down 20 points, with 2:23 left, Carlisle cleared his bench. 

The game was never really competitive. The Mavs led for the last time with 4 minutes left in the first quarter, and were double-digits down for the entire second half. 


Notable Items

  1. Early-season issues. The new-look Mavs appear to be a team that hasn’t really gelled yet. With such a short training camp, I guess that shouldn’t be a huge surprise. I have a feeling that we may be witnessing some pretty sloppy basketball the first two or three weeks of the season, and not only from the Mavs, as teams round into shape and sharpen up their systems. A casualty of the virus, I guess. 
2.   Big men. The big-man platoon of Powell/Maxi/Willie/Bobi just hasn’t been getting it done at this early point. They were no match for the Lakers’ skilled behemoths. In fairness, that probably applies to many teams, but the front line at least has to hang in there. The four big guys combined — COMBINED! — had 11 rebounds. That just can’t happen. There was some clamor during the game to put in one guy rather than another, and there may have been some basis for this, but honestly, I think this performance was too abysmal for rearranging the minutes to have made any meaningful difference. On the brighter side, the four big guys together totaled 22 points, which is not terrible. 

3. Shooting. The Mavs had a decent shooting night, for the most part, and even some good displays from Burke and JRich. They still underperformed the Lakers, both from two and from three, though. Six Mavs scored in double digits — Luka 27, Richardson and Burke 17, Powell 11, Timmy and DFS 10. 

4. Boards. The really shocking statistics came in rebounding and second-chance points. The Lakers had 17 (seventeen!) offensive rebounds, and they out-rebounded the Mavs 53-27 overall. The Lakers had 35 second-chance points, and the Mavs had none. Really? Dallas suffered from a height/strength disadvantage in some cases, but also got outworked, as the Lakers made crashing the offensive glass a priority, and the Mavs were not working the defensive glass with much intensity. 

5.  Defense. Defensively, the Mavericks weren’t altogether bad. In more than a few cases, they defended well, only to be the victim of an outstanding play by the Lakers' offense. In more than a few others, they played good initial defense, but then gave up an offensive rebound and didn’t collect themselves in time to avoid being scored on. According to Carlisle’s post-game comments, they have to "get tougher." 

6. Turnovers. One moderately bright spot was the turnover area. The Mavs took care of the ball for the most part, committing only nine turnovers and forcing 17 from the Lakers, which played a part in the Mavs’ hanging around as long as they did. But the points off turnovers were only 3 in the Mavs’ favor, so they didn’t take as much advantage as we might have hoped. 

7.  Luka. Luka had a pretty good stat line, with 27 points and 7 assists, but he appeared to be out of shape, and played only 4 minutes in the fourth quarter. He was attacking the paint much more than he did in the first game, with only 5 of his 19 shots being threes, but he seemed prone to shooting against multiple defenders tonight when there was time left to try to find someone a better shot. The Lakers were cutting off his passing lanes, but he’s eventually going to have to learn to play out of double teams even when opponents have his usual passing attacks figured out.  

On the positive side, he was 7-8 from the free throw line, and made some good defensive plays. He says he is not yet in shape because he thought the season wasn’t going to start so early, and I guess I believe that. However, if he wants to make the most of his outstanding talents, he is probably going to have to get used to staying in at least decent shape year-round. 

8.  THJ. Tim Hardaway looked a little shot-happy, and produced an underwhelming line of 10 points on 4-12 shooting. I don’t really blame him so much for taking 12 shots as an absolute number that he should never reach, as they were trying to feed him at times, but it would be good if he could get a better handle on his shot selection, and work for something better if time permits. Having said that, volume shooters are inherently going to be somewhat up and down. However, if he is supposed to be the third option, he has to be better than this.

9. Richardson. I have been impressed by how seamlessly Josh Richardson fits into the team. He plays like he’s been here for a season or two. It’s also great to have another two-way player on the perimeter. I’m looking forward to seeing more of what he has to offer, once the team manages to crystallize. 

10. Burke. Trey Burke gave the team an offensive boost, scoring 17 points on 50% shooting, and going 4 of 7 from deep. He reminds me some of Jet, operating as an offensive spark plug off the bench. I don’t know if he might have played more minutes than his 24 if he hadn’t been in foul trouble, but I think he can help this team, even if he’s a 20-minute guy. 

11. KP. I don’t think the Mavs are a contender without both their stars on the floor. One of the more frustrating things about the vicissitudes of the seasons has been how relatively little time both Luka and Porzingis have gotten on the floor together. Rick says the date of KP’s return is a matter of weeks away, not months, and hopefully, we’ll see a transformation when their synergy starts working. 


Observations

Carlisle found the team performance disappointing, and said that they “have to get better” at rebounding and defending. These "we have to be better" comments never strike me as being particularly forceful. 

As much as I hate to say this when it involves the hated Lakers, this looked kinda like a scrimmage of the JV against the V. The Lakers were bigger, played better together, and appeared to be the better team in Game 2 of the season. I have to think the Mavs won’t look this overmatched in most games. After all, the Lakers are the defending champs, and LeBron/AD are a tough matchup for all 29 other teams. 

The offense looks pretty good for it being this early, and the Mavs shot well from long range (41%) and had 54 points in the paint. There were a number of beautiful individual plays in the contest, and some of them were even made by the Mavs! We’re already seeing some defensive improvement, now that the roster has been re-jiggered in that direction. 

I could see it taking this team ten or fifteen games to hit their stride, with so many new guys, such a short offseason/preseason, and KP being out. It’s too early to get discouraged, and the return of KP will have trickle-down effects across the roster. If they can stay healthy, they look like they have promise. Need to make boxing out a priority, though!

The Clippers are next up, on Sunday night. It doesn’t get any easier, at least for a while. 

Anyway, I hope all the MFFLs had a great Christmas, and hopefully, our team will look a little better next time!
Great recap @"mavsluvr", agree with all.
And it's great to have you back here, board is just not the same without your contributions. Respect!
So the good news is that things might be (or get?) bad enough that Rick starts adjusting the starting lineup which is what we want. Powell as center next to DFS is horrible and the sooner we can get a different look, the better.
(12-26-2020, 01:51 AM)mavsluvr Wrote: [ -> ]I could see it taking this team ten or fifteen games to hit their stride, with so many new guys, such a short offseason/preseason, and KP being out.


This is what scares me the most. Next ten games in order:

@LAC, CHA, MIA, @CHI, @HOU, @DEN, ORL, NOP, @CHA, @MIL

6 road games. 4 games against final hopefuls (LAC, MIA, DEN, MIL). A wildcard in Houston, and the rest against teams that SHOULD BE wins. 

There's a lot of travel in that schedule too. NBA kinda fucked the Mavs over. I'm not confident against any of these teams save maybe Charlotte.
(12-26-2020, 11:25 AM)SleepingHero Wrote: [ -> ]This is what scares me the most. Next ten games in order:

@LAC, CHA, MIA, @CHI, @HOU, @DEN, ORL, NOP, @CHA, @MIL

6 road games. 4 games against final hopefuls (LAC, MIA, DEN, MIL). A wildcard in Houston, and the rest against teams that SHOULD BE wins. 

There's a lot of travel in that schedule too. NBA kinda fucked the Mavs over. I'm not confident against any of these teams save maybe Charlotte.
3-7/4-6 seems the most realistic. 5-5 would be nice. I´d be very sceptical about making the play-offs, if they hadn´t added the two wildcard spots. I honestly expected such a start, I just didn´t expect the team to look so messy. It´s not that we lost, it´s how we  looked losing as a team and some individual players, too.
Yeah I'd say 4-6 over the next 10 is pretty likely. That would put us at 4-8 after 12 games. That's not a good start, but not too deep to dig our way out. We'll definitely need a hot steak during this season. A 9-1 stretch or something like that would help a lot. With Luka's conditioning, I'm not seeing a top 4 seed likely, but I'm still hopeful for something in the 4-6 range.
(12-26-2020, 01:51 AM)mavsluvr Wrote: [ -> ]MAVS EMBARRASSED IN LOS ANGELES
REBOUNDING, DEFENSIVE WOES CONTINUE

Big Men - Powell/Maxi/Willie/Bobi just hasn’t been getting it done 

How much of this is usage and scheme vs simple talent and ability?
(12-26-2020, 11:50 AM)Mavs2019 Wrote: [ -> ]3-7/4-6 seems the most realistic. 5-5 would be nice. I´d be very sceptical about making the play-offs, if they hadn´t added the two wildcard spots. I honestly expected such a start, I just didn´t expect the team to look so messy. It´s not that we lost, it´s how we  looked losing as a team and some individual players, too.
You can never assume wins. The Rams probably thought they would never lose to the Jets, to give them they're 1st win. Every game can be a challenge, even against bottom feeders. It's not always about who you play, it's when you play them.
(12-26-2020, 12:07 PM)Dahlsim Wrote: [ -> ]How much of this is usage and scheme vs simple talent and ability?

So far boxing out has not been part of the team's mindset...3-4 guys watching to see if the shot goes in while 1 player from the other team gets position and secures the rebound...
Great write up, ML! Nice to see you back!
Fun fact: Mavs won the rebounding battle in 3 of 4 Lakers games last year. And were +30 on the boards overall in 4 games.

Lineup wise there were a lot of Powell/KP and Kleber/KP, and DFS being a major plus on the boards at the 3. Luka having doube digits rebound games as well.
(12-26-2020, 02:02 PM)sefant Wrote: [ -> ]Fun fact: Mavs won the rebounding battle in 3 of 4 Lakers games last year. And were +30 on the boards overall in 4 games.

Lineup wise there were a lot of Powell/KP and Kleber/KP, and DFS being a major plus on the boards at the 3. Luka having doube digits rebound games as well.

Interesting.

What’s your takeaway from this note?
(12-26-2020, 12:30 PM)ClutchDirk Wrote: [ -> ]So far boxing out has not been part of the team's mindset...3-4 guys watching to see if the shot goes in while 1 player from the other team gets position and secures the rebound...

Yeah.  
The NBA in the super friends pickup era is more a league of haves and have nots than ever, but as stacked as the Lakers are the Mavs big men rotation of Powell/Maxi/Willie/Bobi  is not that bereft of talent to be crushed that badly on talent alone. 

Mavs are going to have to use their BIGS much better while KP or they risk digging a hole too big get out of by the time he returns.
(12-26-2020, 11:25 AM)SleepingHero Wrote: [ -> ]This is what scares me the most. Next ten games in order:

@LAC, CHA, MIA, @CHI, @HOU, @DEN, ORL, NOP, @CHA, @MIL

6 road games. 4 games against final hopefuls (LAC, MIA, DEN, MIL). A wildcard in Houston, and the rest against teams that SHOULD BE wins. 

There's a lot of travel in that schedule too. NBA kinda fucked the Mavs over. I'm not confident against any of these teams save maybe Charlotte.

It's a punishing schedule, no question. I guess the moderately good news is that some of these teams are undergoing struggles of their own, and may be far from their best (just like the Mavs). For example, I could see Houston being anywhere from awesome to a debacle on any given night. 

With the short offseason/preseason, the compacted schedule, and the virus not expected to be under control before the summer, I have a sense that this may be a very unpredictable season. Maybe filled with more injuries than usual, absences due to illness, and maybe postponed games. Being a lockout-style year, we may see more games than usual where the teams don't play well due to the sheer exhaustion of it all. 

If the Mavs can get and stay healthy (a big if), they could stand a better chance than it might appear. Or, maybe I'm just grasping at straws. Anyway, I agree that the first ten games present a grueling opening, and the Mavs are going to have to play better to get a few W's on the board.
(12-26-2020, 05:49 AM)LukTheShadow Wrote: [ -> ]Great recap @"mavsluvr", agree with all.
And it's great to have you back here, board is just not the same without your contributions. Respect!

Thanks, Luk, I appreciate that. It's nice to have NBA basketball again, isn't it?
(12-26-2020, 01:51 AM)mavsluvr Wrote: [ -> ]vicissitudes


Thanks for the great recap (as always), also I learned a new word today  Smile
(12-26-2020, 08:04 PM)mavsluvr Wrote: [ -> ]
(12-26-2020, 05:49 AM)LukTheShadow Wrote: [ -> ]Great recap @"mavsluvr", agree with all.
And it's great to have you back here, board is just not the same without your contributions. Respect!

Thanks, Luk, I appreciate that. It's nice to have NBA basketball again, isn't it?

Nice to have MAVERICKS basketball back. And great to see you back, mavsluvr!
YES! Thank you Mavsluvr! When we didn't have your writeup after the Phoenix game I got VERY nervous that you lost steam! Glad to have you back!
KL, BD, embellisher, and IGT, 

Thanks for the kind words. Much appreciated. Look forward to exchanging basketball thoughts this season!
(12-26-2020, 02:18 PM)Dahlsim Wrote: [ -> ]Mavs are going to have to use their BIGS much better while KP or they risk digging a hole too big get out of by the time he returns.
Do you have any thoughts as to how the bigs should be better used?
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