MavsBoard

(12-22-2019, 02:10 PM)Kammrath Wrote: [ -> ]I have no idea what ESPN is using because 8 different services right now are saying -2.0 for TOR.

This is a testament on why odds are not a tool to gauge who is the probable winner. They change the odds based more on (I said moron, hehe) how people are betting than win probability. Esp after the line has been set and bets are being placed.

(12-22-2019, 02:52 PM)ItsGoTime Wrote: [ -> ]This is a testament on why odds are not a tool to gauge who is the probable winner. They change the odds based more on (I said moron, hehe) how people are betting than win probability. Esp after the line has been set and bets are being placed.

So yes, odds are first and foremost about generating bets. 

But for Vegas they NEED to generate bets on BOTH sides of the line about equally so they don't lose money. So because of that a betting will end up correlating VERY close in most circumstances to the probability of an outcome. Of course there will be exceptions where public conception will be so strong on something that it will skew the bets away from the actual probablity. But I would say in most cases the betting line offers a pretty close glimpse (sort of by accident) of the probability of the outcome.

Dallas Mavbricks

Very bad start to the game. 0/6 and the shots are short as if the players have no energy at all.

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What the heck is that we are watching? Are the players in blue and green playing basketball?

Gross, get Seth in

0/10. Nice job Mavs.

WTH Mavs

This is pathetic

Make it 0/11. This is utter rubbish. You can't make shots so try to the something different. All they do is fire quick threes. One brick after another.

welp! this doesnt look good

First FG by DFS. We could have easily been down by 20 in only 5 minutes.

Bring the bench in

there we go dorian@!
WHY IS POWELL SHOOTING! THAT IS A WASTED POSSESSION!!

Bad THJ game incoming

2/16. What a great way to start a game.

Man just shuffle through the bench until you find some guys.  Boban, Rick?

i like how nick tries to work the refs

The rim is going to melt because of our shots.

Dallas shot 21% for the quarter and is only down 3.  The real game starts now.